Recent OpenAI moves to terminate AI model access for the SpaceX-owned Cursor tool, citing contract violations tied to xAI and Musk’s other ventures, have heightened tensions in the AI competitive landscape and are likely to drive posts on model capabilities, benchmarks, or rivalries. Starlink’s recognition from Zelenskyy for Ukraine support and ongoing India rural connectivity efforts add momentum around satellite deployment and regulatory approvals, while Tesla’s $5,000 Cybertruck price adjustment reflects hardware and luxury positioning updates. Traders monitoring xAI’s Grok training and video-generation features, alongside any Starship or autonomous vehicle milestones, see these verified corporate and technical catalysts as the strongest near-term influences on posting patterns through early September, with reduced political engagement narrowing odds for unrelated topics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-06
Mexico
7%
Border
3%
Trump
12%
Sam / Altman
62%
Tweak
7%
Deport / Deported
6%
Tesla
92%
Video game / Videogame
27%
Iran / Iranian
9%
ChatGPT
9%
Texas
42%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
4%
$2,615 交易量
Mexico
$344 交易量
7%
Border
$350 交易量
3%
Trump
$234 交易量
12%
Sam / Altman
$225 交易量
62%
Tweak
$162 交易量
7%
Deport / Deported
$0 交易量
6%
Tesla
$27 交易量
92%
Video game / Videogame
$20 交易量
27%
Iran / Iranian
$269 交易量
9%
ChatGPT
$643 交易量
9%
Texas
$52 交易量
42%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$290 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Recent OpenAI moves to terminate AI model access for the SpaceX-owned Cursor tool, citing contract violations tied to xAI and Musk’s other ventures, have heightened tensions in the AI competitive landscape and are likely to drive posts on model capabilities, benchmarks, or rivalries. Starlink’s recognition from Zelenskyy for Ukraine support and ongoing India rural connectivity efforts add momentum around satellite deployment and regulatory approvals, while Tesla’s $5,000 Cybertruck price adjustment reflects hardware and luxury positioning updates. Traders monitoring xAI’s Grok training and video-generation features, alongside any Starship or autonomous vehicle milestones, see these verified corporate and technical catalysts as the strongest near-term influences on posting patterns through early September, with reduced political engagement narrowing odds for unrelated topics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
交易量
$2,615结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 8:06 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Recent OpenAI moves to terminate AI model access for the SpaceX-owned Cursor tool, citing contract violations tied to xAI and Musk’s other ventures, have heightened tensions in the AI competitive landscape and are likely to drive posts on model capabilities, benchmarks, or rivalries. Starlink’s recognition from Zelenskyy for Ukraine support and ongoing India rural connectivity efforts add momentum around satellite deployment and regulatory approvals, while Tesla’s $5,000 Cybertruck price adjustment reflects hardware and luxury positioning updates. Traders monitoring xAI’s Grok training and video-generation features, alongside any Starship or autonomous vehicle milestones, see these verified corporate and technical catalysts as the strongest near-term influences on posting patterns through early September, with reduced political engagement narrowing odds for unrelated topics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
交易量
$2,615结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 8:06 PM ETRecent OpenAI moves to terminate AI model access for the SpaceX-owned Cursor tool, citing contract violations tied to xAI and Musk’s other ventures, have heightened tensions in the AI competitive landscape and are likely to drive posts on model capabilities, benchmarks, or rivalries. Starlink’s recognition from Zelenskyy for Ukraine support and ongoing India rural connectivity efforts add momentum around satellite deployment and regulatory approvals, while Tesla’s $5,000 Cybertruck price adjustment reflects hardware and luxury positioning updates. Traders monitoring xAI’s Grok training and video-generation features, alongside any Starship or autonomous vehicle milestones, see these verified corporate and technical catalysts as the strongest near-term influences on posting patterns through early September, with reduced political engagement narrowing odds for unrelated topics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题