Tesla shares closed at $348.75 on August 28 amid volatility following Q2 2026 results that delivered record $28.24 billion revenue (+26% YoY) but missed consensus on EPS and margins due to elevated CapEx and automotive gross margin compression to 16.3%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around current levels, with the $340–$345 bucket at 47.0% and >$370 at 45.5%, reflecting competing forces from accelerating robotaxi and Cybercab rollout progress versus recent China recalls, Cybertruck price adjustments, and stretched valuation metrics near 323x trailing earnings. No major catalysts are scheduled before the week’s close, leaving short-term price discovery sensitive to broader equity sentiment, delivery trends, and autonomy updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$345-$350 49%
$360-$365 43%
>$370 42%
$350-$355 41%
<$325
7%
$325-$330
9%
$330-$335
7%
$335-$340
10%
$340-$345
12%
$345-$350
49%
$350-$355
41%
$355-$360
41%
$360-$365
43%
$365-$370
41%
>$370
42%
$345-$350 49%
$360-$365 43%
>$370 42%
$350-$355 41%
<$325
7%
$325-$330
9%
$330-$335
7%
$335-$340
10%
$340-$345
12%
$345-$350
49%
$350-$355
41%
$355-$360
41%
$360-$365
43%
$365-$370
41%
>$370
42%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Tesla shares closed at $348.75 on August 28 amid volatility following Q2 2026 results that delivered record $28.24 billion revenue (+26% YoY) but missed consensus on EPS and margins due to elevated CapEx and automotive gross margin compression to 16.3%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around current levels, with the $340–$345 bucket at 47.0% and >$370 at 45.5%, reflecting competing forces from accelerating robotaxi and Cybercab rollout progress versus recent China recalls, Cybertruck price adjustments, and stretched valuation metrics near 323x trailing earnings. No major catalysts are scheduled before the week’s close, leaving short-term price discovery sensitive to broader equity sentiment, delivery trends, and autonomy updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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