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icon for 塞尔维亚议会被……解散?

塞尔维亚议会被……解散?

icon for 塞尔维亚议会被……解散?

塞尔维亚议会被……解散?

$85,278 交易量

2026-08-31
Polymarket

$85,278 交易量

Polymarket

8月31日

$41,309 交易量

23%

12月31日

$35,785 交易量

96%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Aleksandar Vucic’s June 2026 announcement of his impending resignation and early elections, followed by his August 20 statement setting snap parliamentary votes for October 18 or 25, has centered trader attention on the timing of National Assembly dissolution. Under Serbian rules, the president dissolves parliament to trigger early elections, a step not yet taken despite the failed August no-confidence motion and sustained student-led protests over the 2024 Novi Sad incident. Vucic’s Serbian Progressive Party holds the majority, and dissolution typically precedes the 45- to 60-day campaign window. Key variables include the exact October date, any last-minute procedural delays, and Vucic’s transition plans, potentially toward the premiership.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$85,278
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Aleksandar Vucic’s June 2026 announcement of his impending resignation and early elections, followed by his August 20 statement setting snap parliamentary votes for October 18 or 25, has centered trader attention on the timing of National Assembly dissolution. Under Serbian rules, the president dissolves parliament to trigger early elections, a step not yet taken despite the failed August no-confidence motion and sustained student-led protests over the 2024 Novi Sad incident. Vucic’s Serbian Progressive Party holds the majority, and dissolution typically precedes the 45- to 60-day campaign window. Key variables include the exact October date, any last-minute procedural delays, and Vucic’s transition plans, potentially toward the premiership.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$85,278
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"塞尔维亚议会被……解散?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12月31日",概率为 96%,其次是"8月31日",概率为 23%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 96¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 96%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"塞尔维亚议会被……解散?"已产生 $85.3K 的总交易量(自Jun 29, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"塞尔维亚议会被……解散?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"塞尔维亚议会被……解散?"的当前领先者是"12月31日",概率为 96%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 96%。紧随其后的结果是"8月31日",概率为 23%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"塞尔维亚议会被……解散?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。