Skip to main content
icon for 新罕布什尔州参议院和州长组合

新罕布什尔州参议院和州长组合

icon for 新罕布什尔州参议院和州长组合

新罕布什尔州参议院和州长组合

共和党赢州长,民主党赢参议员 41%

共和党横扫 40%

民主党横扫 40%

民主党赢州长,共和党赢参议员 38%

Polymarket
最新

共和党赢州长,民主党赢参议员 41%

共和党横扫 40%

民主党横扫 40%

民主党赢州长,共和党赢参议员 38%

Polymarket
最新

共和党赢州长,民主党赢参议员

$0 交易量

41%

共和党横扫

$0 交易量

40%

民主党横扫

$0 交易量

40%

民主党赢州长,共和党赢参议员

$0 交易量

38%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. New Hampshire voters have a history of ticket-splitting, which sustains tight probabilities across Senate-Governor outcome combinations ahead of the November 3 general election. The open Senate seat features Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas as the frontrunner in his party's primary and polling near or slightly ahead of Republican John E. Sununu in general-election matchups, while incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte holds a lead in her reelection bid against Democrat Cinde Warmington. Primaries on September 8 will finalize nominees and could shift positioning in this closely contested environment. Trader consensus on split results reflects these narrow margins, candidate strengths, and the state's recent pattern of divided control rather than unified sweeps.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. New Hampshire voters have a history of ticket-splitting, which sustains tight probabilities across Senate-Governor outcome combinations ahead of the November 3 general election. The open Senate seat features Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas as the frontrunner in his party's primary and polling near or slightly ahead of Republican John E. Sununu in general-election matchups, while incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte holds a lead in her reelection bid against Democrat Cinde Warmington. Primaries on September 8 will finalize nominees and could shift positioning in this closely contested environment. Trader consensus on split results reflects these narrow margins, candidate strengths, and the state's recent pattern of divided control rather than unified sweeps.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"新罕布什尔州参议院和州长组合"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"共和党赢州长,民主党赢参议员",概率为 41%,其次是"共和党横扫",概率为 40%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 41¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 41%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"新罕布什尔州参议院和州长组合"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 11, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"新罕布什尔州参议院和州长组合"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"新罕布什尔州参议院和州长组合"的当前领先者是"共和党赢州长,民主党赢参议员",概率为 41%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 41%。紧随其后的结果是"共和党横扫",概率为 40%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"新罕布什尔州参议院和州长组合"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。