New Hampshire voters have a history of ticket-splitting, which sustains tight probabilities across Senate-Governor outcome combinations ahead of the November 3 general election. The open Senate seat features Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas as the frontrunner in his party's primary and polling near or slightly ahead of Republican John E. Sununu in general-election matchups, while incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte holds a lead in her reelection bid against Democrat Cinde Warmington. Primaries on September 8 will finalize nominees and could shift positioning in this closely contested environment. Trader consensus on split results reflects these narrow margins, candidate strengths, and the state's recent pattern of divided control rather than unified sweeps.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党赢州长,民主党赢参议员 41%
共和党横扫 40%
民主党横扫 40%
民主党赢州长,共和党赢参议员 38%
共和党赢州长,民主党赢参议员
41%
共和党横扫
40%
民主党横扫
40%
民主党赢州长,共和党赢参议员
38%
共和党赢州长,民主党赢参议员 41%
共和党横扫 40%
民主党横扫 40%
民主党赢州长,共和党赢参议员 38%
共和党赢州长,民主党赢参议员
41%
共和党横扫
40%
民主党横扫
40%
民主党赢州长,共和党赢参议员
38%
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...New Hampshire voters have a history of ticket-splitting, which sustains tight probabilities across Senate-Governor outcome combinations ahead of the November 3 general election. The open Senate seat features Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas as the frontrunner in his party's primary and polling near or slightly ahead of Republican John E. Sununu in general-election matchups, while incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte holds a lead in her reelection bid against Democrat Cinde Warmington. Primaries on September 8 will finalize nominees and could shift positioning in this closely contested environment. Trader consensus on split results reflects these narrow margins, candidate strengths, and the state's recent pattern of divided control rather than unified sweeps.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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