US sanctions policy under the current administration has sharply constrained prospects for American companies entering Cuba. Multiple executive orders issued since January 2026, including expanded authorities targeting military-linked entities such as GAESA and key sectors like energy, tourism, and finance, have triggered secondary sanctions that deter foreign and US business engagement. These measures build on the longstanding embargo and have already prompted international hotel chains to exit partnerships. Although Cuban authorities approved economic reforms in June 2026 that reference foreign franchises, the combination of designations, compliance risks, and diplomatic tensions leaves little room for a US fast-food chain announcement before year-end. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers to normalization.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
8% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
8% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US sanctions policy under the current administration has sharply constrained prospects for American companies entering Cuba. Multiple executive orders issued since January 2026, including expanded authorities targeting military-linked entities such as GAESA and key sectors like energy, tourism, and finance, have triggered secondary sanctions that deter foreign and US business engagement. These measures build on the longstanding embargo and have already prompted international hotel chains to exit partnerships. Although Cuban authorities approved economic reforms in June 2026 that reference foreign franchises, the combination of designations, compliance risks, and diplomatic tensions leaves little room for a US fast-food chain announcement before year-end. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers to normalization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$1,685结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US sanctions policy under the current administration has sharply constrained prospects for American companies entering Cuba. Multiple executive orders issued since January 2026, including expanded authorities targeting military-linked entities such as GAESA and key sectors like energy, tourism, and finance, have triggered secondary sanctions that deter foreign and US business engagement. These measures build on the longstanding embargo and have already prompted international hotel chains to exit partnerships. Although Cuban authorities approved economic reforms in June 2026 that reference foreign franchises, the combination of designations, compliance risks, and diplomatic tensions leaves little room for a US fast-food chain announcement before year-end. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers to normalization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,685结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETUS sanctions policy under the current administration has sharply constrained prospects for American companies entering Cuba. Multiple executive orders issued since January 2026, including expanded authorities targeting military-linked entities such as GAESA and key sectors like energy, tourism, and finance, have triggered secondary sanctions that deter foreign and US business engagement. These measures build on the longstanding embargo and have already prompted international hotel chains to exit partnerships. Although Cuban authorities approved economic reforms in June 2026 that reference foreign franchises, the combination of designations, compliance risks, and diplomatic tensions leaves little room for a US fast-food chain announcement before year-end. Trader pricing reflects these structural barriers to normalization.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题