Current forecast consensus from Météo-France-aligned models and observational networks shows Paris under persistent overcast skies with moderate southwesterly flow, producing an expected overnight minimum of 17°C for August 30. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth and moisture that limited radiational cooling, keeping the diurnal range compressed around the seasonal average high near 24°C. This data aligns with the 97.5% market-implied probability for 17°C as the daily low. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing after sunset or an unforecasted cold advection that enhances nocturnal cooling below 16°C, though model agreement and current pressure patterns make such shifts unlikely before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日巴黎最低气温？
8月30日巴黎最低气温？
17°C 99.5%
16°C 3%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
$7,548 交易量
$7,548 交易量
2026-08-30
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
17°C 99.5%
16°C 3%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
$7,548 交易量
$7,548 交易量
2026-08-30
12°C或以下
$358 交易量
<1%
13°C
$406 交易量
<1%
14°C
$158 交易量
<1%
15°C
$405 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,212 交易量
3%
17°C
$1,988 交易量
100%
18°C
$1,758 交易量
<1%
19°C
$785 交易量
<1%
20°C
$158 交易量
<1%
21°C
$274 交易量
<1%
22°C或更高
$45 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from Météo-France-aligned models and observational networks shows Paris under persistent overcast skies with moderate southwesterly flow, producing an expected overnight minimum of 17°C for August 30. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth and moisture that limited radiational cooling, keeping the diurnal range compressed around the seasonal average high near 24°C. This data aligns with the 97.5% market-implied probability for 17°C as the daily low. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing after sunset or an unforecasted cold advection that enhances nocturnal cooling below 16°C, though model agreement and current pressure patterns make such shifts unlikely before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$7,548结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from Météo-France-aligned models and observational networks shows Paris under persistent overcast skies with moderate southwesterly flow, producing an expected overnight minimum of 17°C for August 30. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth and moisture that limited radiational cooling, keeping the diurnal range compressed around the seasonal average high near 24°C. This data aligns with the 97.5% market-implied probability for 17°C as the daily low. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing after sunset or an unforecasted cold advection that enhances nocturnal cooling below 16°C, though model agreement and current pressure patterns make such shifts unlikely before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,548结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecast consensus from Météo-France-aligned models and observational networks shows Paris under persistent overcast skies with moderate southwesterly flow, producing an expected overnight minimum of 17°C for August 30. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth and moisture that limited radiational cooling, keeping the diurnal range compressed around the seasonal average high near 24°C. This data aligns with the 97.5% market-implied probability for 17°C as the daily low. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing after sunset or an unforecasted cold advection that enhances nocturnal cooling below 16°C, though model agreement and current pressure patterns make such shifts unlikely before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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