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icon for 爱赢: 2026年版

爱赢: 2026年版

icon for 爱赢: 2026年版

爱赢: 2026年版

26% 概率
Polymarket
最新

26% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf**No holds a 63% market-implied probability** because the market resolves Yes only if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce marry, Tom Holland and Zendaya marry, and Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner get engaged—all by December 31, 2026. Trader consensus reflects the strict “all three” requirement, with the Chalamet-Jenner engagement viewed as the clearest barrier given their lower-profile relationship since 2023 and absence of recent public milestones. Swift and Kelce carry the strongest momentum from their 2025 engagement and reported 2026 wedding plans, yet Zendaya’s demanding film schedule has slowed Holland-Zendaya planning after their late-2024 engagement. With roughly four months left, any single delay or shift in one couple’s timeline keeps the probability of all conditions aligning low. Upcoming catalysts include potential fall wedding announcements or engagement rumors that could quickly move odds.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:

- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
交易量
$4,949
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Feb 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf**No holds a 63% market-implied probability** because the market resolves Yes only if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce marry, Tom Holland and Zendaya marry, and Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner get engaged—all by December 31, 2026. Trader consensus reflects the strict “all three” requirement, with the Chalamet-Jenner engagement viewed as the clearest barrier given their lower-profile relationship since 2023 and absence of recent public milestones. Swift and Kelce carry the strongest momentum from their 2025 engagement and reported 2026 wedding plans, yet Zendaya’s demanding film schedule has slowed Holland-Zendaya planning after their late-2024 engagement. With roughly four months left, any single delay or shift in one couple’s timeline keeps the probability of all conditions aligning low. Upcoming catalysts include potential fall wedding announcements or engagement rumors that could quickly move odds.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:

- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
交易量
$4,949
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Feb 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"爱赢: 2026年版"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"爱获胜:2026年版",概率为 45%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 45¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 45%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"爱赢: 2026年版"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Feb 10, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"爱赢: 2026年版"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"爱赢: 2026年版"的当前领先者是"爱获胜:2026年版",概率为 45%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 45%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"爱赢: 2026年版"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。