Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月22日惠灵顿的最高温度？
7月22日惠灵顿的最高温度？
13°C 65%
14°C 26%
12°C 5.8%
15°C 1.5%
最新
$43,090 交易量
最新
$43,090 交易量
2026-07-22
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
6%
13°C
65%
14°C
26%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
13°C 65%
14°C 26%
12°C 5.8%
15°C 1.5%
最新
$43,090 交易量
最新
$43,090 交易量
2026-07-22
9°C或以下
$2,052 交易量
<1%
10°C
$445 交易量
<1%
11°C
$3,957 交易量
<1%
12°C
$4,937 交易量
6%
13°C
$11,283 交易量
65%
14°C
$7,854 交易量
26%
15°C
$7,310 交易量
2%
16°C
$3,558 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,040 交易量
<1%
18°C
$290 交易量
<1%
19°C或更高
$375 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$43,090结束日期
2026-07-22市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,090结束日期
2026-07-22市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETCurrent forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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