Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Warsaw's maximum temperature on September 1 near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and limited moisture. Scattered showers or variable cloud cover could suppress daytime heating by 1–2°C in some runs, while clearer intervals or slightly stronger insolation support the upper end. This narrow spread, combined with historical early-September norms around 20–23°C, drives the near-even market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest model runs and potential steering-pattern shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日华沙最高气温？
9月1日华沙最高气温？
22°C 39%
21°C 38%
20°C 13%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
13%
21°C
38%
22°C
39%
23°C
11%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
21°C 38%
20°C 13%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
17°C or below
$177 交易量
<1%
18°C
$111 交易量
2%
19°C
$62 交易量
2%
20°C
$154 交易量
13%
21°C
$226 交易量
38%
22°C
$1,814 交易量
39%
23°C
$10 交易量
11%
24°C
$5 交易量
4%
25°C
$5 交易量
2%
26°C
$238 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$88 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Warsaw's maximum temperature on September 1 near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and limited moisture. Scattered showers or variable cloud cover could suppress daytime heating by 1–2°C in some runs, while clearer intervals or slightly stronger insolation support the upper end. This narrow spread, combined with historical early-September norms around 20–23°C, drives the near-even market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest model runs and potential steering-pattern shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,888结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Warsaw's maximum temperature on September 1 near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and limited moisture. Scattered showers or variable cloud cover could suppress daytime heating by 1–2°C in some runs, while clearer intervals or slightly stronger insolation support the upper end. This narrow spread, combined with historical early-September norms around 20–23°C, drives the near-even market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest model runs and potential steering-pattern shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,888结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Warsaw's maximum temperature on September 1 near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and limited moisture. Scattered showers or variable cloud cover could suppress daytime heating by 1–2°C in some runs, while clearer intervals or slightly stronger insolation support the upper end. This narrow spread, combined with historical early-September norms around 20–23°C, drives the near-even market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest model runs and potential steering-pattern shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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