Current forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and AccuWeather indicate a high of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 22, driven by sunny conditions, light northerly winds, and a transient warm anomaly during Southern Hemisphere winter. Typical July highs average near 22°C, but model consensus points to elevated readings from reduced cloud cover and atmospheric patterns favoring warmer advection. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 45% implied probability, with 29°C close behind, as traders weigh official guidance against minor model spread and the narrow resolution window for the daily maximum. Updated runs closer to the date will likely refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月22日圣保罗的最高温度?
28°C 48%
27°C 24%
29°C 23%
26°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
24%
28°C
48%
29°C
23%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 48%
27°C 24%
29°C 23%
26°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
24%
28°C
48%
29°C
23%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 20, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and AccuWeather indicate a high of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 22, driven by sunny conditions, light northerly winds, and a transient warm anomaly during Southern Hemisphere winter. Typical July highs average near 22°C, but model consensus points to elevated readings from reduced cloud cover and atmospheric patterns favoring warmer advection. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 45% implied probability, with 29°C close behind, as traders weigh official guidance against minor model spread and the narrow resolution window for the daily maximum. Updated runs closer to the date will likely refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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