Recent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and global models indicate Beijing will experience clearing skies and northerly flow on September 9 following heavy rain and cooling on September 7–8, supporting a daytime high near 25–26 °C. Dry air and light winds are expected to limit afternoon warming, keeping temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of 27.6 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 26 °C reflect this consensus, while the secondary weighting on 25 °C and 27 °C captures remaining uncertainty in model runs and exact timing of clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date will provide the final observational benchmark for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日北京气温最高？
9月9日北京气温最高？
26°C 42%
27°C 24%
25°C 19%
23°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
7%
25°C
19%
26°C
42%
27°C
24%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
3%
26°C 42%
27°C 24%
25°C 19%
23°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
21°C或以下
$122 交易量
<1%
22°C
$5 交易量
1%
23°C
$0 交易量
8%
24°C
$41 交易量
7%
25°C
$60 交易量
19%
26°C
$64 交易量
42%
27°C
$152 交易量
24%
28°C
$0 交易量
6%
29°C
$17 交易量
4%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and global models indicate Beijing will experience clearing skies and northerly flow on September 9 following heavy rain and cooling on September 7–8, supporting a daytime high near 25–26 °C. Dry air and light winds are expected to limit afternoon warming, keeping temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of 27.6 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 26 °C reflect this consensus, while the secondary weighting on 25 °C and 27 °C captures remaining uncertainty in model runs and exact timing of clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date will provide the final observational benchmark for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$462结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and global models indicate Beijing will experience clearing skies and northerly flow on September 9 following heavy rain and cooling on September 7–8, supporting a daytime high near 25–26 °C. Dry air and light winds are expected to limit afternoon warming, keeping temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of 27.6 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 26 °C reflect this consensus, while the secondary weighting on 25 °C and 27 °C captures remaining uncertainty in model runs and exact timing of clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date will provide the final observational benchmark for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$462结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and global models indicate Beijing will experience clearing skies and northerly flow on September 9 following heavy rain and cooling on September 7–8, supporting a daytime high near 25–26 °C. Dry air and light winds are expected to limit afternoon warming, keeping temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of 27.6 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 26 °C reflect this consensus, while the secondary weighting on 25 °C and 27 °C captures remaining uncertainty in model runs and exact timing of clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date will provide the final observational benchmark for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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