Recent three-day windows on X have settled in the 40-64 bracket, establishing trader consensus around Elon Musk’s current posting cadence of roughly 15–20 original posts and reposts daily. That pattern, visible in the just-resolved September 17–19 period and consistent with early-September data, positions the 40-64 range as the clear favorite at 59.5% implied probability. Absent major product launches, regulatory announcements, or high-profile platform developments in the immediate September 21–23 window, momentum has not shifted toward the higher-volume brackets. The next chart-update or Tesla/SpaceX-related news cycle remains the most likely catalyst that could push activity into the 65–89 range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 60%
65-89 22%
少于40 15%
90-114 5%
最新
$11,669 交易量
最新
$11,669 交易量
2026-09-23
少于40
15%
40-64
60%
65-89
22%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 60%
65-89 22%
少于40 15%
90-114 5%
最新
$11,669 交易量
最新
$11,669 交易量
2026-09-23
少于40
$4,916 交易量
15%
40-64
$1,384 交易量
60%
65-89
$353 交易量
22%
90-114
$336 交易量
5%
115-139
$218 交易量
1%
140-164
$251 交易量
<1%
165-189
$125 交易量
1%
190-214
$278 交易量
<1%
215-239
$1,904 交易量
<1%
240+
$1,904 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 21 12:00 PM ET to September 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent three-day windows on X have settled in the 40-64 bracket, establishing trader consensus around Elon Musk’s current posting cadence of roughly 15–20 original posts and reposts daily. That pattern, visible in the just-resolved September 17–19 period and consistent with early-September data, positions the 40-64 range as the clear favorite at 59.5% implied probability. Absent major product launches, regulatory announcements, or high-profile platform developments in the immediate September 21–23 window, momentum has not shifted toward the higher-volume brackets. The next chart-update or Tesla/SpaceX-related news cycle remains the most likely catalyst that could push activity into the 65–89 range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 21 12:00 PM ET to September 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$11,669结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 21 12:00 PM ET to September 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent three-day windows on X have settled in the 40-64 bracket, establishing trader consensus around Elon Musk’s current posting cadence of roughly 15–20 original posts and reposts daily. That pattern, visible in the just-resolved September 17–19 period and consistent with early-September data, positions the 40-64 range as the clear favorite at 59.5% implied probability. Absent major product launches, regulatory announcements, or high-profile platform developments in the immediate September 21–23 window, momentum has not shifted toward the higher-volume brackets. The next chart-update or Tesla/SpaceX-related news cycle remains the most likely catalyst that could push activity into the 65–89 range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 21 12:00 PM ET to September 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$11,669结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:07 PM ETRecent three-day windows on X have settled in the 40-64 bracket, establishing trader consensus around Elon Musk’s current posting cadence of roughly 15–20 original posts and reposts daily. That pattern, visible in the just-resolved September 17–19 period and consistent with early-September data, positions the 40-64 range as the clear favorite at 59.5% implied probability. Absent major product launches, regulatory announcements, or high-profile platform developments in the immediate September 21–23 window, momentum has not shifted toward the higher-volume brackets. The next chart-update or Tesla/SpaceX-related news cycle remains the most likely catalyst that could push activity into the 65–89 range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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