Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market favorite for September 12-14, reflecting traders’ assessment of his baseline activity without extraordinary catalysts. Recent weeks have shown steady but not elevated output, with no major product launches, regulatory announcements, or high-profile controversies emerging to accelerate his pace. Historical patterns indicate Musk often lands in the mid-teens of daily posts during routine periods, supporting the 52.5% implied probability on that bin while the 26.5% on sub-40 accounts for occasional lighter stretches. Absent breaking news or viral moments that could spike engagement, the market consensus favors continuity over outlier volume through the three-day window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 54%
少于40 26%
65-89 18%
90-114 2.5%
最新
$19,771 交易量
最新
$19,771 交易量
2026-09-14
少于40
26%
40-64
54%
65-89
18%
90-114
3%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
1%
240+
<1%
40-64 54%
少于40 26%
65-89 18%
90-114 2.5%
最新
$19,771 交易量
最新
$19,771 交易量
2026-09-14
少于40
$3,362 交易量
26%
40-64
$2,860 交易量
54%
65-89
$2,618 交易量
18%
90-114
$2,056 交易量
3%
115-139
$2,927 交易量
1%
140-164
$1,883 交易量
<1%
165-189
$1,022 交易量
<1%
190-214
$1,269 交易量
<1%
215-239
$1,059 交易量
1%
240+
$717 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 12 12:00 PM ET to September 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market favorite for September 12-14, reflecting traders’ assessment of his baseline activity without extraordinary catalysts. Recent weeks have shown steady but not elevated output, with no major product launches, regulatory announcements, or high-profile controversies emerging to accelerate his pace. Historical patterns indicate Musk often lands in the mid-teens of daily posts during routine periods, supporting the 52.5% implied probability on that bin while the 26.5% on sub-40 accounts for occasional lighter stretches. Absent breaking news or viral moments that could spike engagement, the market consensus favors continuity over outlier volume through the three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 12 12:00 PM ET to September 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$19,771结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 12 12:00 PM ET to September 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market favorite for September 12-14, reflecting traders’ assessment of his baseline activity without extraordinary catalysts. Recent weeks have shown steady but not elevated output, with no major product launches, regulatory announcements, or high-profile controversies emerging to accelerate his pace. Historical patterns indicate Musk often lands in the mid-teens of daily posts during routine periods, supporting the 52.5% implied probability on that bin while the 26.5% on sub-40 accounts for occasional lighter stretches. Absent breaking news or viral moments that could spike engagement, the market consensus favors continuity over outlier volume through the three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 12 12:00 PM ET to September 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$19,771结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ETElon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market favorite for September 12-14, reflecting traders’ assessment of his baseline activity without extraordinary catalysts. Recent weeks have shown steady but not elevated output, with no major product launches, regulatory announcements, or high-profile controversies emerging to accelerate his pace. Historical patterns indicate Musk often lands in the mid-teens of daily posts during routine periods, supporting the 52.5% implied probability on that bin while the 26.5% on sub-40 accounts for occasional lighter stretches. Absent breaking news or viral moments that could spike engagement, the market consensus favors continuity over outlier volume through the three-day window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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