Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X anchors the strong market consensus around 40-64 tweets for the three-day window. His baseline activity often averages 12–20 posts daily when focused on company updates, policy commentary, or lighter memes, producing totals squarely in that band absent major catalysts. Recent days show no outsized spikes from product launches, regulatory news, or viral controversies that historically push volume into the 65+ range, keeping higher buckets at single-digit implied odds. Traders weigh this steady rhythm against the unpredictability of real-time events that could still lift the final count before the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 87%
65-89 12%
少于40条 2.3%
90-114 <1%
$264,615 交易量
$264,615 交易量
2026-09-12
少于40条
2%
40-64
87%
65-89
12%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240条及以上
<1%
40-64 87%
65-89 12%
少于40条 2.3%
90-114 <1%
$264,615 交易量
$264,615 交易量
2026-09-12
少于40条
$83,420 交易量
2%
40-64
$38,701 交易量
87%
65-89
$60,966 交易量
12%
90-114
$26,709 交易量
1%
115-139
$27,969 交易量
<1%
140-164
$16,530 交易量
<1%
165-189
$5,863 交易量
<1%
190-214
$2,799 交易量
<1%
215-239
$931 交易量
<1%
240条及以上
$726 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X anchors the strong market consensus around 40-64 tweets for the three-day window. His baseline activity often averages 12–20 posts daily when focused on company updates, policy commentary, or lighter memes, producing totals squarely in that band absent major catalysts. Recent days show no outsized spikes from product launches, regulatory news, or viral controversies that historically push volume into the 65+ range, keeping higher buckets at single-digit implied odds. Traders weigh this steady rhythm against the unpredictability of real-time events that could still lift the final count before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$264,615结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X anchors the strong market consensus around 40-64 tweets for the three-day window. His baseline activity often averages 12–20 posts daily when focused on company updates, policy commentary, or lighter memes, producing totals squarely in that band absent major catalysts. Recent days show no outsized spikes from product launches, regulatory news, or viral controversies that historically push volume into the 65+ range, keeping higher buckets at single-digit implied odds. Traders weigh this steady rhythm against the unpredictability of real-time events that could still lift the final count before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$264,615结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:07 PM ETElon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X anchors the strong market consensus around 40-64 tweets for the three-day window. His baseline activity often averages 12–20 posts daily when focused on company updates, policy commentary, or lighter memes, producing totals squarely in that band absent major catalysts. Recent days show no outsized spikes from product launches, regulatory news, or viral controversies that historically push volume into the 65+ range, keeping higher buckets at single-digit implied odds. Traders weigh this steady rhythm against the unpredictability of real-time events that could still lift the final count before the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题