Edi Rama's decisive victory in Albania's May 2025 parliamentary elections, where his Socialist Party secured 83 of 140 seats for a strengthened majority, underpins trader expectations that he will complete his fourth term through 2026. This outcome extended legislative control until the next scheduled vote in 2029 and aligned with his focus on EU accession by 2030. Ongoing protests over land development and governance issues have drawn attention in 2026 but have not triggered parliamentary no-confidence mechanisms or early elections capable of removing the prime minister before year-end. The combination of institutional stability and lack of immediate electoral or legal pathways supports the current 80.5% implied probability that Rama remains in office.