The S&P 500 closed at 7,718.60 on September 4, 2026, after a strong August jobs report that nearly tripled expectations and lifted implied probabilities of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Traders are now focused on the August PPI release on September 10 and CPI on September 11, which will clarify whether persistent inflation supports further tightening amid 10-year Treasury yields above 4.8 percent. Elevated oil prices tied to geopolitical tensions add to cost pressures, while resilient corporate earnings and AI-driven investment continue to underpin equity valuations near the August record close of 7,798.99. Market-implied odds reflect heightened sensitivity to these inflation and policy signals over the immediate trading week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於↑ 800美元
50%
↑ $795
50%
↑ 790美元
50%
↑ 785美元
13%
↑ 780美元
30%
↑ 775美元
59%
↑ 770美元
91%
↓ 765美元
60%
↓ $760
30%
↓ $755
12%
↓ 750美元
50%
↓ $745
50%
↓ 740美元
50%
↓ 735美元
39%
$44 交易量
↑ 800美元
50%
↑ $795
50%
↑ 790美元
50%
↑ 785美元
13%
↑ 780美元
30%
↑ 775美元
59%
↑ 770美元
91%
↓ 765美元
60%
↓ $760
30%
↓ $755
12%
↓ 750美元
50%
↓ $745
50%
↓ 740美元
50%
↓ 735美元
39%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
The S&P 500 closed at 7,718.60 on September 4, 2026, after a strong August jobs report that nearly tripled expectations and lifted implied probabilities of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Traders are now focused on the August PPI release on September 10 and CPI on September 11, which will clarify whether persistent inflation supports further tightening amid 10-year Treasury yields above 4.8 percent. Elevated oil prices tied to geopolitical tensions add to cost pressures, while resilient corporate earnings and AI-driven investment continue to underpin equity valuations near the August record close of 7,798.99. Market-implied odds reflect heightened sensitivity to these inflation and policy signals over the immediate trading week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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