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icon for SpaceX會在...前收購遊標嗎?

SpaceX會在...前收購遊標嗎?

icon for SpaceX會在...前收購遊標嗎?

SpaceX會在...前收購遊標嗎?

$72,625 交易量

2026-09-30
Polymarket

$72,625 交易量

Polymarket

9月30日

$11 交易量

56%

12月31日

$72,614 交易量

90%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Cursor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable), and SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., will qualify. An announcement by Cursor or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cursor and SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Cursor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable), and SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., will qualify. An announcement by Cursor or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cursor and SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s April 2026 partnership with Cursor grants the aerospace firm an option to acquire the AI coding startup for $60 billion later this year or pay $10 billion for collaboration on model training via xAI’s Colossus infrastructure. This structure emerged as Cursor scaled its agent-focused tools, including the recent Cursor 3 release that prioritizes autonomous workflows over traditional IDE interfaces. Traders are weighing Cursor’s rapid revenue growth and competitive edge in large language model-assisted development against SpaceX’s planned IPO timeline, which could trigger the acquisition window around July. Any delays in regulatory approvals, shifts in AI capability benchmarks, or changes in compute partnerships could alter the implied probability of completion by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Cursor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Mergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable), and SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., will qualify.

An announcement by Cursor or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cursor and SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$72,625
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Cursor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable), and SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., will qualify. An announcement by Cursor or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cursor and SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Cursor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable), and SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., will qualify. An announcement by Cursor or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cursor and SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Cursor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable), and SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., will qualify. An announcement by Cursor or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cursor and SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s April 2026 partnership with Cursor grants the aerospace firm an option to acquire the AI coding startup for $60 billion later this year or pay $10 billion for collaboration on model training via xAI’s Colossus infrastructure. This structure emerged as Cursor scaled its agent-focused tools, including the recent Cursor 3 release that prioritizes autonomous workflows over traditional IDE interfaces. Traders are weighing Cursor’s rapid revenue growth and competitive edge in large language model-assisted development against SpaceX’s planned IPO timeline, which could trigger the acquisition window around July. Any delays in regulatory approvals, shifts in AI capability benchmarks, or changes in compute partnerships could alter the implied probability of completion by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Cursor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Mergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable), and SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., will qualify.

An announcement by Cursor or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cursor and SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$72,625
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Cursor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable), and SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., will qualify. An announcement by Cursor or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cursor and SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX會在...前收購遊標嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 90%, followed by "9月30日" at 56%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX會在...前收購遊標嗎?" has generated $72.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX會在...前收購遊標嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX會在...前收購遊標嗎?" is "12月31日" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9月30日" at 56%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX會在...前收購遊標嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.