**President Masoud Pezeshkian, elected in the 2024 snap vote, is serving a standard four-year term scheduled to conclude in 2028, with no active constitutional triggers—such as death, resignation, or incapacity under Article 131—currently in place to force an earlier presidential election.** Following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s assassination in February 2026 and the subsequent Assembly of Experts selection of Mojtaba Khamenei, Iranian authorities have focused on leadership consolidation rather than scheduling a new presidential contest. Pezeshkian has publicly reaffirmed his intent to remain in office, rejecting resignation reports, while potential candidates for 2028 have begun positioning. Trader consensus reflected in low market probabilities for a vote by late 2026 or early 2027 aligns with the lack of recent developments that would compel an unscheduled election before the regular cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$767,372 交易量
12月31日
45%
$767,372 交易量
12月31日
45%
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**President Masoud Pezeshkian, elected in the 2024 snap vote, is serving a standard four-year term scheduled to conclude in 2028, with no active constitutional triggers—such as death, resignation, or incapacity under Article 131—currently in place to force an earlier presidential election.** Following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s assassination in February 2026 and the subsequent Assembly of Experts selection of Mojtaba Khamenei, Iranian authorities have focused on leadership consolidation rather than scheduling a new presidential contest. Pezeshkian has publicly reaffirmed his intent to remain in office, rejecting resignation reports, while potential candidates for 2028 have begun positioning. Trader consensus reflected in low market probabilities for a vote by late 2026 or early 2027 aligns with the lack of recent developments that would compel an unscheduled election before the regular cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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