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政治·名人

誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？

icon for 誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？
政治·名人

誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？

$943,627 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$943,627 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$9,805 交易量

12%

icon for 史蒂芬·A·史密斯

史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$16,054 交易量

11%

icon for 塔克·卡爾森

塔克·卡爾森

$16,875 交易量

11%

icon for 加文·紐森

加文·紐森

$61,743 交易量

11%

icon for 安迪·比希爾

安迪·比希爾

$8,500 交易量

11%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$13,533 交易量

11%

icon for 馬克·凱利

馬克·凱利

$8,532 交易量

10%

icon for 賀錦麗

賀錦麗

$43,379 交易量

10%

icon for 布萊恩·坎普

布萊恩·坎普

$2,895 交易量

10%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$4,747 交易量

9%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$12,080 交易量

9%

icon for 唐納·川普

唐納·川普

$48,523 交易量

9%

icon for 亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$41,008 交易量

9%

icon for 馬特·蓋茨

馬特·蓋茨

$2,801 交易量

9%

icon for 史蒂夫·班農

史蒂夫·班農

$15,403 交易量

9%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$2,876 交易量

9%

icon for 蘭德·保羅

蘭德·保羅

$17,193 交易量

8%

icon for 瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$19,633 交易量

8%

icon for 馬克·庫班

馬克·庫班

$6,667 交易量

8%

icon for 格雷琴·惠特默

格雷琴·惠特默

$1,556 交易量

7%

icon for 唐·萊蒙

唐·萊蒙

$1,730 交易量

7%

icon for 拉斐爾·沃諾克

拉斐爾·沃諾克

$2,849 交易量

7%

icon for 喬治·克魯尼

喬治·克魯尼

$5,067 交易量

7%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$7,525 交易量

7%

icon for 泰德·克魯茲

泰德·克魯茲

$14,266 交易量

6%

icon for 羅恩·德桑蒂斯

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$2,309 交易量

6%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$22,707 交易量

6%

icon for 唐納·川普二世

唐納·川普二世

$5,478 交易量

6%

icon for 蒂姆·沃爾茲

蒂姆·沃爾茲

$4,522 交易量

6%

icon for 約翰·圖恩

約翰·圖恩

$3,228 交易量

6%

icon for 圖爾西·加巴德

圖爾西·加巴德

$4,868 交易量

5%

icon for 羅伯特·F·甘迺迪（小）

羅伯特·F·甘迺迪（小）

$14,420 交易量

5%

icon for 杭特·拜登

杭特·拜登

$50,740 交易量

5%

icon for 格倫·楊金

格倫·楊金

$5,941 交易量

5%

icon for 馬可·魯比歐

馬可·魯比歐

$7,707 交易量

5%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$28,586 交易量

5%

icon for 湯姆·布雷迪

湯姆·布雷迪

$9,318 交易量

5%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$9,274 交易量

5%

icon for 伊隆·馬斯克

伊隆·馬斯克

$9,017 交易量

5%

icon for 伊萬卡·川普

伊萬卡·川普

$32,408 交易量

4%

icon for 吉娜·雷蒙多

吉娜·雷蒙多

$4,109 交易量

4%

icon for 賈里德·波利斯

賈里德·波利斯

$5,652 交易量

4%

icon for 克莉絲蒂·諾姆

克莉絲蒂·諾姆

$19,747 交易量

4%

icon for 妮基·黑利

妮基·黑利

$3,212 交易量

4%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$3,924 交易量

4%

icon for 歐普拉·溫芙蕾

歐普拉·溫芙蕾

$16,291 交易量

4%

icon for 喬恩·奧索夫

喬恩·奧索夫

$19,038 交易量

3%

icon for 希拉蕊·柯林頓

希拉蕊·柯林頓

$13,131 交易量

3%

icon for 金·卡戴珊

金·卡戴珊

$6,514 交易量

3%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$34,920 交易量

3%

icon for 韋斯·摩爾

韋斯·摩爾

$6,784 交易量

3%

icon for 喬恩·斯圖爾特

喬恩·斯圖爾特

$3,434 交易量

3%

icon for 約翰·費特曼

約翰·費特曼

$6,843 交易量

3%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$29,043 交易量

3%

icon for 伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克

伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克

$3,672 交易量

3%

icon for 莉茲·切尼

莉茲·切尼

$2,737 交易量

3%

icon for 米歇爾·歐巴馬

米歇爾·歐巴馬

$14,230 交易量

2%

icon for 巴拉克·歐巴馬

巴拉克·歐巴馬

$10,647 交易量

2%

icon for 勒布朗·詹姆斯

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$15,943 交易量

2%

icon for 安德魯·楊

安德魯·楊

$14,205 交易量

2%

icon for 喬什·霍利

喬什·霍利

$7,887 交易量

2%

icon for 莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$7,605 交易量

2%

icon for 貝托·奧羅克

貝托·奧羅克

$9,547 交易量

2%

icon for 切爾西·克林頓

切爾西·克林頓

$13,278 交易量

1%

icon for 拜倫·唐納茲

拜倫·唐納茲

$9,911 交易量

1%

icon for 羅伊·庫珀

羅伊·庫珀

$6,384 交易量

1%

icon for 凱蒂·布里特

凱蒂·布里特

$25,910 交易量

1%

icon for 伯尼·桑德斯

伯尼·桑德斯

$3,245 交易量

1%

icon for 巨石強森

巨石強森

$10,695 交易量

1%

icon for 邁克·彭斯

邁克·彭斯

$15,536 交易量

1%

icon for 菲爾·墨菲

菲爾·墨菲

$3,802 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major-party figures have formally launched 2028 presidential campaigns, consistent with historical patterns where announcements typically accelerate after the November midterms and into early 2027. Potential Democratic contenders such as Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, Andy Beshear, and Cory Booker appear in early polling and media speculation, while Gretchen Whitmer has ruled herself out; on the Republican side, figures like J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio lead informal discussions tied to their current roles. Minor exploratory steps include a May 2026 announcement by television writer Dan Greaney and reports of an exploratory committee by former Border Patrol official Gregory Bovino. The 2026 midterm results and any late-2026 positioning moves by governors or senators represent the next catalysts that could shift timelines for pre-2027 declarations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$943,627
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major-party figures have formally launched 2028 presidential campaigns, consistent with historical patterns where announcements typically accelerate after the November midterms and into early 2027. Potential Democratic contenders such as Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, Andy Beshear, and Cory Booker appear in early polling and media speculation, while Gretchen Whitmer has ruled herself out; on the Republican side, figures like J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio lead informal discussions tied to their current roles. Minor exploratory steps include a May 2026 announcement by television writer Dan Greaney and reports of an exploratory committee by former Border Patrol official Gregory Bovino. The 2026 midterm results and any late-2026 positioning moves by governors or senators represent the next catalysts that could shift timelines for pre-2027 declarations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$943,627
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rahm Emanuel" at 12%, followed by "史蒂芬·A·史密斯" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" has generated $943.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" is "Rahm Emanuel" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "史蒂芬·A·史密斯" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.