**Leaf leads trader sentiment at 74% implied probability of leaving his team in 2026, driven by his mid-2025 step-down from G2 due to persistent health issues that sidelined the former Cloud9 sentinel and created roster instability.** Cryocells sits at 63% amid 100 Thieves' confirmed 2026 roster featuring his return alongside Asuna and bang, yet ongoing VCT Americas restructuring and potential contract flexibility keep movement plausible. Demon1 and Primmie follow closely, reflecting recent team shifts including Primmie's integration into Thailand's national squad and broader post-2025 rostermania. VCT's evolving 2026 format—with expanded international events, Path to Champions qualifiers replacing prior Ascension slots, and frequent roster locks—amplifies uncertainty around contract expirations, performance dips, and regional moves. Recent signings and health updates have sharpened these probabilities more than older form trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
leaf
74%
Cryocells
63%
Primmie
58%
D4v41
50%
Jinggg
50%
something
50%
BuZz
50%
Jawgemo
50%
valyn
50%
invy
30%
Meteor
22%
Skuba
18%
kiNgg
17%
f0rsaken
15%
Sato
50%
brawk
50%
Jemkin
32%
Asuna
62%
Demon1
50%
trent
50%
$2,761 交易量
leaf
$569 交易量
74%
Cryocells
$85 交易量
63%
Primmie
$156 交易量
58%
D4v41
$0 交易量
50%
Jinggg
$0 交易量
50%
something
$0 交易量
50%
BuZz
$0 交易量
50%
Jawgemo
$0 交易量
50%
valyn
$0 交易量
50%
invy
$210 交易量
30%
Meteor
$217 交易量
22%
Skuba
$25 交易量
18%
kiNgg
$90 交易量
17%
f0rsaken
$25 交易量
15%
Sato
$110 交易量
50%
brawk
$111 交易量
50%
Jemkin
$320 交易量
32%
Asuna
$261 交易量
62%
Demon1
$517 交易量
50%
trent
$65 交易量
50%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player departs the listed team's active roster on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count.
The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution.
A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count.
If the listed team disbands, or the listed player and the team part ways because the roster is dissolved, this will count as the player leaving and resolve "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Leaf leads trader sentiment at 74% implied probability of leaving his team in 2026, driven by his mid-2025 step-down from G2 due to persistent health issues that sidelined the former Cloud9 sentinel and created roster instability.** Cryocells sits at 63% amid 100 Thieves' confirmed 2026 roster featuring his return alongside Asuna and bang, yet ongoing VCT Americas restructuring and potential contract flexibility keep movement plausible. Demon1 and Primmie follow closely, reflecting recent team shifts including Primmie's integration into Thailand's national squad and broader post-2025 rostermania. VCT's evolving 2026 format—with expanded international events, Path to Champions qualifiers replacing prior Ascension slots, and frequent roster locks—amplifies uncertainty around contract expirations, performance dips, and regional moves. Recent signings and health updates have sharpened these probabilities more than older form trends.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player departs the listed team's active roster on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count.
The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution.
A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count.
If the listed team disbands, or the listed player and the team part ways because the roster is dissolved, this will count as the player leaving and resolve "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count.
The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution.
A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count.
If the listed team disbands, or the listed player and the team part ways because the roster is dissolved, this will count as the player leaving and resolve "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
交易量
$2,761市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player departs the listed team's active roster on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count.
The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution.
A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count.
If the listed team disbands, or the listed player and the team part ways because the roster is dissolved, this will count as the player leaving and resolve "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Leaf leads trader sentiment at 74% implied probability of leaving his team in 2026, driven by his mid-2025 step-down from G2 due to persistent health issues that sidelined the former Cloud9 sentinel and created roster instability.** Cryocells sits at 63% amid 100 Thieves' confirmed 2026 roster featuring his return alongside Asuna and bang, yet ongoing VCT Americas restructuring and potential contract flexibility keep movement plausible. Demon1 and Primmie follow closely, reflecting recent team shifts including Primmie's integration into Thailand's national squad and broader post-2025 rostermania. VCT's evolving 2026 format—with expanded international events, Path to Champions qualifiers replacing prior Ascension slots, and frequent roster locks—amplifies uncertainty around contract expirations, performance dips, and regional moves. Recent signings and health updates have sharpened these probabilities more than older form trends.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player departs the listed team's active roster on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count.
The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution.
A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count.
If the listed team disbands, or the listed player and the team part ways because the roster is dissolved, this will count as the player leaving and resolve "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count.
The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution.
A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count.
If the listed team disbands, or the listed player and the team part ways because the roster is dissolved, this will count as the player leaving and resolve "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,761市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Leaf leads trader sentiment at 74% implied probability of leaving his team in 2026, driven by his mid-2025 step-down from G2 due to persistent health issues that sidelined the former Cloud9 sentinel and created roster instability.** Cryocells sits at 63% amid 100 Thieves' confirmed 2026 roster featuring his return alongside Asuna and bang, yet ongoing VCT Americas restructuring and potential contract flexibility keep movement plausible. Demon1 and Primmie follow closely, reflecting recent team shifts including Primmie's integration into Thailand's national squad and broader post-2025 rostermania. VCT's evolving 2026 format—with expanded international events, Path to Champions qualifiers replacing prior Ascension slots, and frequent roster locks—amplifies uncertainty around contract expirations, performance dips, and regional moves. Recent signings and health updates have sharpened these probabilities more than older form trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions