Diplomatic recognition of Israel stands at roughly 163–169 of 192 UN member states as of mid-2026, with the remaining holdouts concentrated among Arab League members, other Muslim-majority states, and a few others including Cuba, North Korea, and Venezuela. Recent months have seen modest warming in Latin America, including Colombia’s restoration of full ties, embassy relocation to Jerusalem, and recognition of Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights, alongside Venezuela’s return to consular relations and ambassador restorations by Chile and Honduras. Broader expansion remains constrained by the requirement many states attach to credible progress toward Palestinian statehood, ongoing regional tensions, and domestic political pressures. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any move on such a pathway, while Syrian security talks have advanced without formal recognition. Indonesia and similar states have signaled similar prerequisites, leaving limited scope for new recognitions before year-end absent major diplomatic breakthroughs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$759,359 交易量

黎巴嫩
11%

沙烏地阿拉伯
11%

委內瑞拉
10%

印尼
8%

突尼西亞
7%

科威特
7%

敘利亞
6%

伊拉克
5%

卡塔爾
5%

巴基斯坦
5%

朝鮮
4%

古巴
4%

伊朗
4%

孟加拉
4%

馬來西亞
4%

阿富汗
4%
$759,359 交易量

黎巴嫩
11%

沙烏地阿拉伯
11%

委內瑞拉
10%

印尼
8%

突尼西亞
7%

科威特
7%

敘利亞
6%

伊拉克
5%

卡塔爾
5%

巴基斯坦
5%

朝鮮
4%

古巴
4%

伊朗
4%

孟加拉
4%

馬來西亞
4%

阿富汗
4%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Diplomatic recognition of Israel stands at roughly 163–169 of 192 UN member states as of mid-2026, with the remaining holdouts concentrated among Arab League members, other Muslim-majority states, and a few others including Cuba, North Korea, and Venezuela. Recent months have seen modest warming in Latin America, including Colombia’s restoration of full ties, embassy relocation to Jerusalem, and recognition of Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights, alongside Venezuela’s return to consular relations and ambassador restorations by Chile and Honduras. Broader expansion remains constrained by the requirement many states attach to credible progress toward Palestinian statehood, ongoing regional tensions, and domestic political pressures. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any move on such a pathway, while Syrian security talks have advanced without formal recognition. Indonesia and similar states have signaled similar prerequisites, leaving limited scope for new recognitions before year-end absent major diplomatic breakthroughs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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