The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes a mutual-defense framework modeled on collective deterrence principles and explicitly open to accession by additional states. Trader focus centers on Egypt, which maintains close ties through existing regional mechanisms and whose officials have described accession as under constitutional review, alongside reported interest from Bangladesh and lower-profile mentions for Iraq, Qatar, and others. A late-August Istanbul meeting advanced institutional steps, including a Saudi-based secretariat and defense-industry cooperation, while Pakistani statements on September 10 indicated that expansion discussions remain off the immediate agenda pending internal consolidation. These developments frame the limited time window to December 31, 2026, against procedural, diplomatic, and regional security considerations that could determine formal accessions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$55,601 交易量

埃及
14%

約旦
13%

阿拉伯聯合大公國
12%

科威特
11%

巴林
10%

卡塔爾
10%

蘇丹
10%

索馬利亞
9%

摩洛哥
9%

阿曼
9%

阿爾及利亞
8%

敘利亞
8%

伊拉克
7%

葉門
7%

伊朗
6%

黎巴嫩
2%
$55,601 交易量

埃及
14%

約旦
13%

阿拉伯聯合大公國
12%

科威特
11%

巴林
10%

卡塔爾
10%

蘇丹
10%

索馬利亞
9%

摩洛哥
9%

阿曼
9%

阿爾及利亞
8%

敘利亞
8%

伊拉克
7%

葉門
7%

伊朗
6%

黎巴嫩
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes a mutual-defense framework modeled on collective deterrence principles and explicitly open to accession by additional states. Trader focus centers on Egypt, which maintains close ties through existing regional mechanisms and whose officials have described accession as under constitutional review, alongside reported interest from Bangladesh and lower-profile mentions for Iraq, Qatar, and others. A late-August Istanbul meeting advanced institutional steps, including a Saudi-based secretariat and defense-industry cooperation, while Pakistani statements on September 10 indicated that expansion discussions remain off the immediate agenda pending internal consolidation. These developments frame the limited time window to December 31, 2026, against procedural, diplomatic, and regional security considerations that could determine formal accessions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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