BTS’s “Swim” leads VMA Song of the Year trader sentiment at 61.5% implied probability, driven by its sustained dominance on global charts, including multiple weeks at No. 1 on Billboard Global (Excl. U.S.) and strong placement on the Global 200, alongside BTS’s massive ARMY fanbase and dual nominations for Song of the Year and Best K-Pop. The Sept. 27 ceremony in Los Angeles, with fan voting open through Sept. 25, amplifies momentum for the track from the Arirang album. PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside” remix sits at 34.5% on viral video exposure and streaming gains, while Huntrix’s “Golden” and Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” trail at 31.5% and 23.5% amid solid but narrower genre traction. Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love” and lower-probability entries like Olivia Dean and Raye reflect limited recent crossover momentum against BTS’s scale.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年度VMA歌曲
Swim(BTS) 62%
Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley) 14%
Man I Need(Olivia Dean) 14%
Where Is My Husband!(Raye) 13%
Swim(BTS)
62%
Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley)
14%
Man I Need(Olivia Dean)
14%
Where Is My Husband!(Raye)
13%
Stateside + Zara Larsson(PinkPantheress)
12%
Bring Your Love(瑪丹娜與薩布麗娜·卡本特)
12%
Golden(Huntrix)
9%
Swim(BTS) 62%
Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley) 14%
Man I Need(Olivia Dean) 14%
Where Is My Husband!(Raye) 13%
Swim(BTS)
62%
Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley)
14%
Man I Need(Olivia Dean)
14%
Where Is My Husband!(Raye)
13%
Stateside + Zara Larsson(PinkPantheress)
12%
Bring Your Love(瑪丹娜與薩布麗娜·卡本特)
12%
Golden(Huntrix)
9%
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
BTS’s “Swim” leads VMA Song of the Year trader sentiment at 61.5% implied probability, driven by its sustained dominance on global charts, including multiple weeks at No. 1 on Billboard Global (Excl. U.S.) and strong placement on the Global 200, alongside BTS’s massive ARMY fanbase and dual nominations for Song of the Year and Best K-Pop. The Sept. 27 ceremony in Los Angeles, with fan voting open through Sept. 25, amplifies momentum for the track from the Arirang album. PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside” remix sits at 34.5% on viral video exposure and streaming gains, while Huntrix’s “Golden” and Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” trail at 31.5% and 23.5% amid solid but narrower genre traction. Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love” and lower-probability entries like Olivia Dean and Raye reflect limited recent crossover momentum against BTS’s scale.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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