US military action removed Nicolás Maduro from power in January 2026, installing Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as acting head of state while the Supreme Court ruled his absence did not end his term. Rodríguez has consolidated control through cabinet changes, maintained PSUV dominance over institutions, and advanced US-backed talks on judicial reform and oil arrangements without committing to immediate multi-party elections. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile, with limited progress on full political opening despite prisoner releases and reduced foreign ties. Traders assign Maduro the highest probability for end-2026 leadership amid regime continuity and delayed transition timelines, while Rodríguez ranks second on interim stability and other names reflect low odds of rapid opposition gains or external appointments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於委內瑞拉領導人2026年底？
委內瑞拉領導人2026年底？
尼古拉斯·馬杜羅 82.5%
德爾西·羅德里格斯 11%
瑪麗亞·科琳娜·馬查多 1.4%
沒有國家元首 <1%
$95,975,117 交易量
$95,975,117 交易量
2026-12-30
尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
82%
德爾西·羅德里格斯
11%
瑪麗亞·科琳娜·馬查多
1%
沒有國家元首
1%
埃德蒙多·岡薩雷斯
<1%
迪奧斯達多·卡貝羅·隆東
<1%
弗拉迪米爾·帕德里諾·洛佩斯
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
伊凡·佩圖斯
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
唐納·川普
<1%
馬可·魯比歐
<1%
彼特·黑格塞斯
<1%
弗蘭克·多諾萬
<1%
理查·格雷內爾
<1%
尼古拉斯·馬杜羅 82.5%
德爾西·羅德里格斯 11%
瑪麗亞·科琳娜·馬查多 1.4%
沒有國家元首 <1%
$95,975,117 交易量
$95,975,117 交易量
2026-12-30
尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
$2,824,631 交易量
82%
德爾西·羅德里格斯
$1,780,385 交易量
11%
瑪麗亞·科琳娜·馬查多
$1,456,959 交易量
1%
沒有國家元首
$1,515,816 交易量
1%
埃德蒙多·岡薩雷斯
$1,216,846 交易量
<1%
迪奧斯達多·卡貝羅·隆東
$2,090,510 交易量
<1%
弗拉迪米爾·帕德里諾·洛佩斯
$820,089 交易量
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,165,925 交易量
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,986,324 交易量
<1%
伊凡·佩圖斯
$5,643,656 交易量
<1%
Dan Caine
$4,139,990 交易量
<1%
唐納·川普
$1,133,918 交易量
<1%
馬可·魯比歐
$1,412,681 交易量
<1%
彼特·黑格塞斯
$9,186,842 交易量
<1%
弗蘭克·多諾萬
$25,809,889 交易量
<1%
理查·格雷內爾
$32,790,654 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military action removed Nicolás Maduro from power in January 2026, installing Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as acting head of state while the Supreme Court ruled his absence did not end his term. Rodríguez has consolidated control through cabinet changes, maintained PSUV dominance over institutions, and advanced US-backed talks on judicial reform and oil arrangements without committing to immediate multi-party elections. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile, with limited progress on full political opening despite prisoner releases and reduced foreign ties. Traders assign Maduro the highest probability for end-2026 leadership amid regime continuity and delayed transition timelines, while Rodríguez ranks second on interim stability and other names reflect low odds of rapid opposition gains or external appointments.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
市場開放時間： Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
交易量
$95,975,117結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETThis market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military action removed Nicolás Maduro from power in January 2026, installing Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as acting head of state while the Supreme Court ruled his absence did not end his term. Rodríguez has consolidated control through cabinet changes, maintained PSUV dominance over institutions, and advanced US-backed talks on judicial reform and oil arrangements without committing to immediate multi-party elections. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile, with limited progress on full political opening despite prisoner releases and reduced foreign ties. Traders assign Maduro the highest probability for end-2026 leadership amid regime continuity and delayed transition timelines, while Rodríguez ranks second on interim stability and other names reflect low odds of rapid opposition gains or external appointments.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
交易量
$95,975,117結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETUS military action removed Nicolás Maduro from power in January 2026, installing Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as acting head of state while the Supreme Court ruled his absence did not end his term. Rodríguez has consolidated control through cabinet changes, maintained PSUV dominance over institutions, and advanced US-backed talks on judicial reform and oil arrangements without committing to immediate multi-party elections. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile, with limited progress on full political opening despite prisoner releases and reduced foreign ties. Traders assign Maduro the highest probability for end-2026 leadership amid regime continuity and delayed transition timelines, while Rodríguez ranks second on interim stability and other names reflect low odds of rapid opposition gains or external appointments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions