Ted Cruz's X activity during the August 7–14 window centers on his typical daily cadence as a high-volume poster, amplified by ongoing Senate duties, book promotion for *Going Further* (releasing August 25), and engagement with current political topics. As of August 12, observed posting volume from the first five days has aligned trader consensus with the 140–159 range (40.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, followed by 160–179 (26.5%) and 120–139 (22%). Recent catalysts include multiple daily posts on policy tours, retweets of campaign-related content, and commentary on elections and cultural issues, consistent with patterns seen in comparable non-campaign weeks. With three days remaining, incremental volume from scheduled events or breaking news could shift totals within the narrow 120–179 band that holds over 88% of current market probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
Ted Cruz # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
140-159 41%
160-179 27%
120-139 22%
100-119 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
80-99
3%
100-119
10%
120-139
22%
140-159
41%
160-179
27%
180-199
7%
200+
1%
140-159 41%
160-179 27%
120-139 22%
100-119 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
80-99
$542 交易量
3%
100-119
$827 交易量
10%
120-139
$1,826 交易量
22%
140-159
$1,746 交易量
41%
160-179
$624 交易量
27%
180-199
$500 交易量
7%
200+
$420 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ted Cruz's X activity during the August 7–14 window centers on his typical daily cadence as a high-volume poster, amplified by ongoing Senate duties, book promotion for *Going Further* (releasing August 25), and engagement with current political topics. As of August 12, observed posting volume from the first five days has aligned trader consensus with the 140–159 range (40.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, followed by 160–179 (26.5%) and 120–139 (22%). Recent catalysts include multiple daily posts on policy tours, retweets of campaign-related content, and commentary on elections and cultural issues, consistent with patterns seen in comparable non-campaign weeks. With three days remaining, incremental volume from scheduled events or breaking news could shift totals within the narrow 120–179 band that holds over 88% of current market probability.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$8,372結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ted Cruz's X activity during the August 7–14 window centers on his typical daily cadence as a high-volume poster, amplified by ongoing Senate duties, book promotion for *Going Further* (releasing August 25), and engagement with current political topics. As of August 12, observed posting volume from the first five days has aligned trader consensus with the 140–159 range (40.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, followed by 160–179 (26.5%) and 120–139 (22%). Recent catalysts include multiple daily posts on policy tours, retweets of campaign-related content, and commentary on elections and cultural issues, consistent with patterns seen in comparable non-campaign weeks. With three days remaining, incremental volume from scheduled events or breaking news could shift totals within the narrow 120–179 band that holds over 88% of current market probability.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$8,372結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ted Cruz's X activity during the August 7–14 window centers on his typical daily cadence as a high-volume poster, amplified by ongoing Senate duties, book promotion for *Going Further* (releasing August 25), and engagement with current political topics. As of August 12, observed posting volume from the first five days has aligned trader consensus with the 140–159 range (40.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, followed by 160–179 (26.5%) and 120–139 (22%). Recent catalysts include multiple daily posts on policy tours, retweets of campaign-related content, and commentary on elections and cultural issues, consistent with patterns seen in comparable non-campaign weeks. With three days remaining, incremental volume from scheduled events or breaking news could shift totals within the narrow 120–179 band that holds over 88% of current market probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions