Robust corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-driven sectors with Wall Street projecting 23-25% S&P 500 EPS expansion for 2026, serves as the primary driver supporting current market-implied odds for year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index trades around 7,750 amid cooling July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and resilient Q2 GDP at 1.5% annualized, while the Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. Futures markets price a steady-to-higher policy path, with potential September FOMC clarity and August inflation data as near-term catalysts that could influence rate expectations and equity valuations. Elevated multiples introduce sensitivity to any growth or geopolitical surprises.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$320,740 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
7%
↑ 8,600美元
14%
↑ 8,200美元
37%
↑ $8,000
52%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
61%
↓ $7,000
61%
↓ 6,200美元
11%
↓ $6,000
10%
↓ 5,800美元
8%
↓ 5,200
6%
↓ 4,500美元
3%
$320,740 交易量
↑ $10,000
$103 交易量
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,465 交易量
5%
↑ $9,000
$68 交易量
7%
↑ 8,600美元
$29,749 交易量
14%
↑ 8,200美元
$22,155 交易量
37%
↑ $8,000
$489 交易量
52%
↓ $7,400
$0 交易量
73%
↓ $7,200
$0 交易量
61%
↓ $7,000
$200 交易量
61%
↓ 6,200美元
$45,450 交易量
11%
↓ $6,000
$750 交易量
10%
↓ 5,800美元
$39,676 交易量
8%
↓ 5,200
$53,773 交易量
6%
↓ 4,500美元
$58,812 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Robust corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-driven sectors with Wall Street projecting 23-25% S&P 500 EPS expansion for 2026, serves as the primary driver supporting current market-implied odds for year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index trades around 7,750 amid cooling July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and resilient Q2 GDP at 1.5% annualized, while the Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. Futures markets price a steady-to-higher policy path, with potential September FOMC clarity and August inflation data as near-term catalysts that could influence rate expectations and equity valuations. Elevated multiples introduce sensitivity to any growth or geopolitical surprises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
交易量
$320,740結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Robust corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-driven sectors with Wall Street projecting 23-25% S&P 500 EPS expansion for 2026, serves as the primary driver supporting current market-implied odds for year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index trades around 7,750 amid cooling July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and resilient Q2 GDP at 1.5% annualized, while the Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. Futures markets price a steady-to-higher policy path, with potential September FOMC clarity and August inflation data as near-term catalysts that could influence rate expectations and equity valuations. Elevated multiples introduce sensitivity to any growth or geopolitical surprises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$320,740結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETRobust corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-driven sectors with Wall Street projecting 23-25% S&P 500 EPS expansion for 2026, serves as the primary driver supporting current market-implied odds for year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index trades around 7,750 amid cooling July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and resilient Q2 GDP at 1.5% annualized, while the Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. Futures markets price a steady-to-higher policy path, with potential September FOMC clarity and August inflation data as near-term catalysts that could influence rate expectations and equity valuations. Elevated multiples introduce sensitivity to any growth or geopolitical surprises.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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