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icon for 標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在12月底將會受到什麼衝擊？
金融·SPX

標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在12月底將會受到什麼衝擊？

icon for 標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在12月底將會受到什麼衝擊？
金融·SPX

標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在12月底將會受到什麼衝擊？

12月 31

12月 31

$304,185 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$304,185 交易量

Polymarket

↑ $10,000

$103 交易量

3%

↑ $9,300

$9,312 交易量

5%

↑ $9,000

$68 交易量

8%

↑ 8,600美元

$26,240 交易量

13%

↑ 8,200美元

$21,489 交易量

28%

↑ $8,000

$483 交易量

75%

↓ $7,400

$0 交易量

67%

↓ $7,200

$0 交易量

62%

↓ $7,000

$200 交易量

57%

↓ 6,200美元

$42,884 交易量

16%

↓ $6,000

$165 交易量

39%

↓ 5,800美元

$38,004 交易量

11%

↓ 5,200

$50,483 交易量

7%

↓ 4,500美元

$54,703 交易量

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, projected at 23-25% for 2026 and fueled by AI adoption, forms the core driver behind S&P 500 levels near 7,800 in mid-August, up roughly 14% year-to-date and at record highs. Analysts have lifted year-end targets into the 7,800-8,100 range, reflecting upgraded EPS estimates amid resilient U.S. economic data and expectations for steady Federal Reserve policy, with limited odds of near-term rate hikes. Geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict have introduced energy-price volatility and sticky inflation risks that could pressure valuations, while upcoming catalysts include September FOMC deliberations, Q3 earnings releases, and further CPI or jobs reports that may shape rate-path expectations through December. Trader positioning reflects this balance of earnings momentum against macro uncertainty.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$304,185
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET

結算來源

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, projected at 23-25% for 2026 and fueled by AI adoption, forms the core driver behind S&P 500 levels near 7,800 in mid-August, up roughly 14% year-to-date and at record highs. Analysts have lifted year-end targets into the 7,800-8,100 range, reflecting upgraded EPS estimates amid resilient U.S. economic data and expectations for steady Federal Reserve policy, with limited odds of near-term rate hikes. Geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict have introduced energy-price volatility and sticky inflation risks that could pressure valuations, while upcoming catalysts include September FOMC deliberations, Q3 earnings releases, and further CPI or jobs reports that may shape rate-path expectations through December. Trader positioning reflects this balance of earnings momentum against macro uncertainty.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$304,185
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET

結算來源

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在12月底將會受到什麼衝擊？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ $7,800" at 100%, followed by "↑ $7,600" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在12月底將會受到什麼衝擊？" has generated $304.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在12月底將會受到什麼衝擊？," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在12月底將會受到什麼衝擊？" is "↑ $7,800" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ $7,600" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）在12月底將會受到什麼衝擊？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.