SpaceX's private share pricing, often tracked via secondary platforms or tender offers under tickers like SPCX proxies, reflects ongoing momentum from Starlink's subscriber growth and recurring revenue alongside Starship development milestones. As of early August 2026, recent tender activity and institutional participation have established elevated valuation benchmarks, with traders monitoring launch schedules and regulatory approvals for orbital deployments that could influence implied per-share levels by month-end. Macro factors including Treasury yields and risk appetite in growth assets also factor into secondary market liquidity, while any delays in key contracts or successful test flights represent near-term swing variables. The market-implied odds embed these dynamics as aggregated capital-weighted sentiment rather than fixed outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$50
50%
$60
50%
$70
50%
$80
50%
$90
51%
$100
51%
$110
50%
$120
50%
$130
50%
$140
50%
$150
36%
$160
36%
$170
50%
$0.00 交易量
$50
50%
$60
50%
$70
50%
$80
50%
$90
51%
$100
51%
$110
50%
$120
50%
$130
50%
$140
50%
$150
36%
$160
36%
$170
50%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
市場開放時間: Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
SpaceX's private share pricing, often tracked via secondary platforms or tender offers under tickers like SPCX proxies, reflects ongoing momentum from Starlink's subscriber growth and recurring revenue alongside Starship development milestones. As of early August 2026, recent tender activity and institutional participation have established elevated valuation benchmarks, with traders monitoring launch schedules and regulatory approvals for orbital deployments that could influence implied per-share levels by month-end. Macro factors including Treasury yields and risk appetite in growth assets also factor into secondary market liquidity, while any delays in key contracts or successful test flights represent near-term swing variables. The market-implied odds embed these dynamics as aggregated capital-weighted sentiment rather than fixed outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions