SpaceX's post-IPO share price trajectory and elevated revenue multiples drive the near-even split in trader sentiment for its end-October 2026 market cap, with sub-$1 trillion and $1–1.25 trillion buckets each implied near 49%. Following the June 2026 listing at roughly $1.77 trillion that raised $75 billion, the stock initially exceeded $2 trillion before retreating toward $1.4 trillion amid heavy capital expenditures, negative free cash flow, and a multiple exceeding 100 times trailing sales. Key swing factors include Starlink subscriber growth, Starship milestones, and any lockup-related selling ahead of October, while analyst fair-value estimates cluster around $1.25 trillion. Aggregated trader capital reflects uncertainty over whether revenue expansion can outpace dilution and spending by resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於少於1兆美元 49%
1.00-1.25 兆美元 48%
1.50-1.75兆美元 27%
2.00-2.25萬億美元 27%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
少於1兆美元
49%
1.00-1.25 兆美元
48%
1.25兆至1.50兆美元
26%
1.50-1.75兆美元
27%
1.75-2.00兆美元
24%
2.00-2.25萬億美元
27%
2.25兆美元以上
25%
少於1兆美元 49%
1.00-1.25 兆美元 48%
1.50-1.75兆美元 27%
2.00-2.25萬億美元 27%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
少於1兆美元
$0 交易量
49%
1.00-1.25 兆美元
$0 交易量
48%
1.25兆至1.50兆美元
$0 交易量
26%
1.50-1.75兆美元
$0 交易量
27%
1.75-2.00兆美元
$0 交易量
24%
2.00-2.25萬億美元
$0 交易量
27%
2.25兆美元以上
$0 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-IPO share price trajectory and elevated revenue multiples drive the near-even split in trader sentiment for its end-October 2026 market cap, with sub-$1 trillion and $1–1.25 trillion buckets each implied near 49%. Following the June 2026 listing at roughly $1.77 trillion that raised $75 billion, the stock initially exceeded $2 trillion before retreating toward $1.4 trillion amid heavy capital expenditures, negative free cash flow, and a multiple exceeding 100 times trailing sales. Key swing factors include Starlink subscriber growth, Starship milestones, and any lockup-related selling ahead of October, while analyst fair-value estimates cluster around $1.25 trillion. Aggregated trader capital reflects uncertainty over whether revenue expansion can outpace dilution and spending by resolution.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-IPO share price trajectory and elevated revenue multiples drive the near-even split in trader sentiment for its end-October 2026 market cap, with sub-$1 trillion and $1–1.25 trillion buckets each implied near 49%. Following the June 2026 listing at roughly $1.77 trillion that raised $75 billion, the stock initially exceeded $2 trillion before retreating toward $1.4 trillion amid heavy capital expenditures, negative free cash flow, and a multiple exceeding 100 times trailing sales. Key swing factors include Starlink subscriber growth, Starship milestones, and any lockup-related selling ahead of October, while analyst fair-value estimates cluster around $1.25 trillion. Aggregated trader capital reflects uncertainty over whether revenue expansion can outpace dilution and spending by resolution.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's post-IPO share price trajectory and elevated revenue multiples drive the near-even split in trader sentiment for its end-October 2026 market cap, with sub-$1 trillion and $1–1.25 trillion buckets each implied near 49%. Following the June 2026 listing at roughly $1.77 trillion that raised $75 billion, the stock initially exceeded $2 trillion before retreating toward $1.4 trillion amid heavy capital expenditures, negative free cash flow, and a multiple exceeding 100 times trailing sales. Key swing factors include Starlink subscriber growth, Starship milestones, and any lockup-related selling ahead of October, while analyst fair-value estimates cluster around $1.25 trillion. Aggregated trader capital reflects uncertainty over whether revenue expansion can outpace dilution and spending by resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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