South Carolina's open gubernatorial contest features Republican nominee and state attorney general Alan Wilson against Democratic state representative Jermaine Johnson on November 3. The state's consistent Republican dominance in statewide races, including term-limited incumbent Henry McMaster's prior victories, underpins the market's 91.5% Republican consensus. Wilson's primary runoff win over Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette consolidated party support behind an established statewide officeholder. Democratic nominee Johnson's primary victory occurred in a low-visibility contest with limited crossover appeal. Historical voting patterns, partisan registration gaps, and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or endorsements sustain the implied probability. Late developments such as scandals, turnout anomalies, or national economic shocks could narrow margins but face structural barriers in this electorate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$15,869 交易量
$15,869 交易量

共和黨
92%

民主黨
9%
$15,869 交易量
$15,869 交易量

共和黨
92%

民主黨
9%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's open gubernatorial contest features Republican nominee and state attorney general Alan Wilson against Democratic state representative Jermaine Johnson on November 3. The state's consistent Republican dominance in statewide races, including term-limited incumbent Henry McMaster's prior victories, underpins the market's 91.5% Republican consensus. Wilson's primary runoff win over Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette consolidated party support behind an established statewide officeholder. Democratic nominee Johnson's primary victory occurred in a low-visibility contest with limited crossover appeal. Historical voting patterns, partisan registration gaps, and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or endorsements sustain the implied probability. Late developments such as scandals, turnout anomalies, or national economic shocks could narrow margins but face structural barriers in this electorate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions