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icon for 紐約市空氣品質指數低於100... ？

紐約市空氣品質指數低於100... ？

icon for 紐約市空氣品質指數低於100... ？

紐約市空氣品質指數低於100... ？

$53,893 交易量

2026-07-19
Polymarket

$53,893 交易量

Polymarket

7月19日

$16,371 交易量

99%

7月20日

$5,331 交易量

100%

7月21日

$20,587 交易量

100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "New York City region" has a PM2.5 Air Quality Index of below 100 between July 17, 2026 and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution source will be https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=new-york. To get to the figures used to resolve this market, select the "Historical Air Quality" tab, then find the finalized figure in the "New York City Region" row under the "Daily AQI for PM2.5" column. This market may remain open for two days after the specified date to confirm the daily AQI figures for the specified timeframe. If the figures remain unavailable, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent Canadian wildfire smoke, particularly from western Ontario, has driven NYC's Air Quality Index well above 100 in mid-July 2026, with readings reaching very unhealthy levels over 200 on July 16 due to fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Statewide air quality health advisories remain active amid a coinciding heat wave that can worsen ozone formation. Forecasters note the plume may ease for most of the region by July 17–18 as winds shift, though temporary spikes could persist depending on plume movement and local weather patterns. Ongoing Canadian fire activity and seasonal summer conditions continue to influence short-term AQI trends in the Northeast.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "New York City region" has a PM2.5 Air Quality Index of below 100 between July 17, 2026 and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution source will be https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=new-york. To get to the figures used to resolve this market, select the "Historical Air Quality" tab, then find the finalized figure in the "New York City Region" row under the "Daily AQI for PM2.5" column.

This market may remain open for two days after the specified date to confirm the daily AQI figures for the specified timeframe. If the figures remain unavailable, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$53,893
結束日期
2026-07-21
市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 2:02 AM ET

結算來源

https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=new-york

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "New York City region" has a PM2.5 Air Quality Index of below 100 between July 17, 2026 and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution source will be https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=new-york. To get to the figures used to resolve this market, select the "Historical Air Quality" tab, then find the finalized figure in the "New York City Region" row under the "Daily AQI for PM2.5" column. This market may remain open for two days after the specified date to confirm the daily AQI figures for the specified timeframe. If the figures remain unavailable, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "New York City region" has a PM2.5 Air Quality Index of below 100 between July 17, 2026 and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution source will be https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=new-york. To get to the figures used to resolve this market, select the "Historical Air Quality" tab, then find the finalized figure in the "New York City Region" row under the "Daily AQI for PM2.5" column. This market may remain open for two days after the specified date to confirm the daily AQI figures for the specified timeframe. If the figures remain unavailable, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent Canadian wildfire smoke, particularly from western Ontario, has driven NYC's Air Quality Index well above 100 in mid-July 2026, with readings reaching very unhealthy levels over 200 on July 16 due to fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Statewide air quality health advisories remain active amid a coinciding heat wave that can worsen ozone formation. Forecasters note the plume may ease for most of the region by July 17–18 as winds shift, though temporary spikes could persist depending on plume movement and local weather patterns. Ongoing Canadian fire activity and seasonal summer conditions continue to influence short-term AQI trends in the Northeast.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "New York City region" has a PM2.5 Air Quality Index of below 100 between July 17, 2026 and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution source will be https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=new-york. To get to the figures used to resolve this market, select the "Historical Air Quality" tab, then find the finalized figure in the "New York City Region" row under the "Daily AQI for PM2.5" column.

This market may remain open for two days after the specified date to confirm the daily AQI figures for the specified timeframe. If the figures remain unavailable, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$53,893
結束日期
2026-07-21
市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 2:02 AM ET

結算來源

https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=new-york

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "New York City region" has a PM2.5 Air Quality Index of below 100 between July 17, 2026 and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution source will be https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=new-york. To get to the figures used to resolve this market, select the "Historical Air Quality" tab, then find the finalized figure in the "New York City Region" row under the "Daily AQI for PM2.5" column. This market may remain open for two days after the specified date to confirm the daily AQI figures for the specified timeframe. If the figures remain unavailable, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約市空氣品質指數低於100... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "7月20日" at 100%, followed by "7月21日" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "紐約市空氣品質指數低於100... ？" has generated $53.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "紐約市空氣品質指數低於100... ？," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約市空氣品質指數低於100... ？" is "7月20日" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "7月21日" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約市空氣品質指數低於100... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.