Rebeca Grynspan leads trader consensus after the UN Security Council’s first straw poll on July 30, 2026, where she secured 10 encourage votes and just one discourage among the 15 members, ahead of Rafael Grossi’s seven encourage votes. The informal ballot, conducted behind closed doors as part of the process to succeed António Guterres on January 1, 2027, highlighted early backing for the Costa Rican economist and UNCTAD head. Grossi, Argentina’s IAEA director general, maintains solid but narrower support tied to his nuclear diplomacy experience. Macky Sall and Michelle Bachelet trail amid competition from other Latin American and Caribbean nominees. Permanent members’ preferences and subsequent rounds of polling remain decisive factors in narrowing the field before a General Assembly vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Rebeca Grynspan 48%
Rafael Grossi 34%
Macky Sall 4.5%
Michelle Bachelet 2.8%
$168,525 交易量
$168,525 交易量

Rebeca Grynspan
48%

Rafael Grossi
34%

Macky Sall
4%

Michelle Bachelet
3%
Rebeca Grynspan 48%
Rafael Grossi 34%
Macky Sall 4.5%
Michelle Bachelet 2.8%
$168,525 交易量
$168,525 交易量

Rebeca Grynspan
48%

Rafael Grossi
34%

Macky Sall
4%

Michelle Bachelet
3%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rebeca Grynspan leads trader consensus after the UN Security Council’s first straw poll on July 30, 2026, where she secured 10 encourage votes and just one discourage among the 15 members, ahead of Rafael Grossi’s seven encourage votes. The informal ballot, conducted behind closed doors as part of the process to succeed António Guterres on January 1, 2027, highlighted early backing for the Costa Rican economist and UNCTAD head. Grossi, Argentina’s IAEA director general, maintains solid but narrower support tied to his nuclear diplomacy experience. Macky Sall and Michelle Bachelet trail amid competition from other Latin American and Caribbean nominees. Permanent members’ preferences and subsequent rounds of polling remain decisive factors in narrowing the field before a General Assembly vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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