Juan Soto’s elite plate discipline and sustained walk rate above 16 percent of plate appearances underpin the near-certain trader consensus at 98.6 percent implied probability that he will finish the 2026 regular season with more walks than Aaron Judge. Soto’s low chase rate and willingness to work deep counts have produced consistent on-base edges across lineups, while Judge has appeared in far fewer games amid lower-leg tightness and lineup management, limiting his total opportunities despite strong per-appearance discipline. Historical BB/PA gaps and Soto’s current 71 walks through roughly 100 games versus Judge’s 43 further reinforce the positioning. Only a dramatic late surge in Judge’s health and playing time, or an abbreviated schedule, could realistically close the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
Judge
1% 機率
$30,929 交易量
$30,929 交易量
2026-09-27
Judge
1% 機率
$30,929 交易量
$30,929 交易量
2026-09-27
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Juan Soto’s elite plate discipline and sustained walk rate above 16 percent of plate appearances underpin the near-certain trader consensus at 98.6 percent implied probability that he will finish the 2026 regular season with more walks than Aaron Judge. Soto’s low chase rate and willingness to work deep counts have produced consistent on-base edges across lineups, while Judge has appeared in far fewer games amid lower-leg tightness and lineup management, limiting his total opportunities despite strong per-appearance discipline. Historical BB/PA gaps and Soto’s current 71 walks through roughly 100 games versus Judge’s 43 further reinforce the positioning. Only a dramatic late surge in Judge’s health and playing time, or an abbreviated schedule, could realistically close the gap.
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
交易量
$30,929結束日期
2026-09-28市場開放時間
May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Juan Soto’s elite plate discipline and sustained walk rate above 16 percent of plate appearances underpin the near-certain trader consensus at 98.6 percent implied probability that he will finish the 2026 regular season with more walks than Aaron Judge. Soto’s low chase rate and willingness to work deep counts have produced consistent on-base edges across lineups, while Judge has appeared in far fewer games amid lower-leg tightness and lineup management, limiting his total opportunities despite strong per-appearance discipline. Historical BB/PA gaps and Soto’s current 71 walks through roughly 100 games versus Judge’s 43 further reinforce the positioning. Only a dramatic late surge in Judge’s health and playing time, or an abbreviated schedule, could realistically close the gap.
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$30,929結束日期
2026-09-28市場開放時間
May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ETJuan Soto’s elite plate discipline and sustained walk rate above 16 percent of plate appearances underpin the near-certain trader consensus at 98.6 percent implied probability that he will finish the 2026 regular season with more walks than Aaron Judge. Soto’s low chase rate and willingness to work deep counts have produced consistent on-base edges across lineups, while Judge has appeared in far fewer games amid lower-leg tightness and lineup management, limiting his total opportunities despite strong per-appearance discipline. Historical BB/PA gaps and Soto’s current 71 walks through roughly 100 games versus Judge’s 43 further reinforce the positioning. Only a dramatic late surge in Judge’s health and playing time, or an abbreviated schedule, could realistically close the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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