Democratic nominees hold consistent polling leads in both the open Senate and gubernatorial races following the August 4 primaries, with Abdul El-Sayed edging Mike Rogers by 2–5 points in recent surveys and Jocelyn Benson ahead of John James by 5–8 points on average. These advantages in a state that narrowly favored Republicans in the 2024 presidential election have shaped trader consensus around a Democratic sweep as the most probable combined outcome. The Senate contest remains a toss-up in most ratings, while the governor race leans Democratic, limiting Republican sweep probabilities. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals in the past month, though individual race volatility could still shift split-ticket scenarios before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於民主黨橫掃 65%
民主黨贏得州長，共和黨贏得參議員 30%
共和黨橫掃 7%
共和黨贏州長，民主黨贏參議員 1.1%
$10,933 交易量
$10,933 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨橫掃
65%
民主黨贏得州長，共和黨贏得參議員
30%
共和黨橫掃
7%
共和黨贏州長，民主黨贏參議員
1%
民主黨橫掃 65%
民主黨贏得州長，共和黨贏得參議員 30%
共和黨橫掃 7%
共和黨贏州長，民主黨贏參議員 1.1%
$10,933 交易量
$10,933 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨橫掃
$4,689 交易量
65%
民主黨贏得州長，共和黨贏得參議員
$1,223 交易量
30%
共和黨橫掃
$4,197 交易量
7%
共和黨贏州長，民主黨贏參議員
$824 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Democratic nominees hold consistent polling leads in both the open Senate and gubernatorial races following the August 4 primaries, with Abdul El-Sayed edging Mike Rogers by 2–5 points in recent surveys and Jocelyn Benson ahead of John James by 5–8 points on average. These advantages in a state that narrowly favored Republicans in the 2024 presidential election have shaped trader consensus around a Democratic sweep as the most probable combined outcome. The Senate contest remains a toss-up in most ratings, while the governor race leans Democratic, limiting Republican sweep probabilities. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals in the past month, though individual race volatility could still shift split-ticket scenarios before November.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$10,933結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Democratic nominees hold consistent polling leads in both the open Senate and gubernatorial races following the August 4 primaries, with Abdul El-Sayed edging Mike Rogers by 2–5 points in recent surveys and Jocelyn Benson ahead of John James by 5–8 points on average. These advantages in a state that narrowly favored Republicans in the 2024 presidential election have shaped trader consensus around a Democratic sweep as the most probable combined outcome. The Senate contest remains a toss-up in most ratings, while the governor race leans Democratic, limiting Republican sweep probabilities. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals in the past month, though individual race volatility could still shift split-ticket scenarios before November.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$10,933結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ETDemocratic nominees hold consistent polling leads in both the open Senate and gubernatorial races following the August 4 primaries, with Abdul El-Sayed edging Mike Rogers by 2–5 points in recent surveys and Jocelyn Benson ahead of John James by 5–8 points on average. These advantages in a state that narrowly favored Republicans in the 2024 presidential election have shaped trader consensus around a Democratic sweep as the most probable combined outcome. The Senate contest remains a toss-up in most ratings, while the governor race leans Democratic, limiting Republican sweep probabilities. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals in the past month, though individual race volatility could still shift split-ticket scenarios before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions