Recent Q2 2026 earnings, which beat revenue but missed EPS due to elevated AI infrastructure spending and one-time charges, have anchored trader sentiment around Meta’s current $1.39–1.40 trillion market cap. Heavy capital expenditures for large language model training and data centers continue to pressure margins despite robust advertising growth and 3.6 billion daily active users, limiting near-term upside into October. The $1.25–1.50T bin leads at 40% implied probability because the two-month window offers limited catalysts for a sustained re-rating, while the adjacent $1.50–1.75T range reflects modest recovery potential if Q3 results or Llama ecosystem updates exceed lowered expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1.25-1.50兆美元 40%
1.50-1.75兆美元 25%
1.00-1.25兆美元 21%
1.75兆-2.00兆 6%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
少於1萬億美元
3%
1.00-1.25兆美元
21%
1.25-1.50兆美元
40%
1.50-1.75兆美元
25%
1.75兆-2.00兆
6%
2.00–2.25 兆美元
3%
2.25萬億美元以上
3%
1.25-1.50兆美元 40%
1.50-1.75兆美元 25%
1.00-1.25兆美元 21%
1.75兆-2.00兆 6%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
少於1萬億美元
$0 交易量
3%
1.00-1.25兆美元
$0 交易量
21%
1.25-1.50兆美元
$0 交易量
40%
1.50-1.75兆美元
$0 交易量
25%
1.75兆-2.00兆
$0 交易量
6%
2.00–2.25 兆美元
$0 交易量
3%
2.25萬億美元以上
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent Q2 2026 earnings, which beat revenue but missed EPS due to elevated AI infrastructure spending and one-time charges, have anchored trader sentiment around Meta’s current $1.39–1.40 trillion market cap. Heavy capital expenditures for large language model training and data centers continue to pressure margins despite robust advertising growth and 3.6 billion daily active users, limiting near-term upside into October. The $1.25–1.50T bin leads at 40% implied probability because the two-month window offers limited catalysts for a sustained re-rating, while the adjacent $1.50–1.75T range reflects modest recovery potential if Q3 results or Llama ecosystem updates exceed lowered expectations.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent Q2 2026 earnings, which beat revenue but missed EPS due to elevated AI infrastructure spending and one-time charges, have anchored trader sentiment around Meta’s current $1.39–1.40 trillion market cap. Heavy capital expenditures for large language model training and data centers continue to pressure margins despite robust advertising growth and 3.6 billion daily active users, limiting near-term upside into October. The $1.25–1.50T bin leads at 40% implied probability because the two-month window offers limited catalysts for a sustained re-rating, while the adjacent $1.50–1.75T range reflects modest recovery potential if Q3 results or Llama ecosystem updates exceed lowered expectations.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 earnings, which beat revenue but missed EPS due to elevated AI infrastructure spending and one-time charges, have anchored trader sentiment around Meta’s current $1.39–1.40 trillion market cap. Heavy capital expenditures for large language model training and data centers continue to pressure margins despite robust advertising growth and 3.6 billion daily active users, limiting near-term upside into October. The $1.25–1.50T bin leads at 40% implied probability because the two-month window offers limited catalysts for a sustained re-rating, while the adjacent $1.50–1.75T range reflects modest recovery potential if Q3 results or Llama ecosystem updates exceed lowered expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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