Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 25–26°C for Seoul on July 30, reflecting near-term forecast consensus from models such as those issued by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Typical late-July climatology features humid subtropical conditions with minimum temperatures averaging 24–26°C, modulated by cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers and variable high humidity in recent days have kept surface temperatures elevated, narrowing the range between 24°C and 27°C outcomes while reducing the likelihood of extremes below 23°C or above 28°C. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as forecasters incorporate the latest ensemble runs and local observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月30日首爾最低溫度？
7月30日首爾最低溫度？
26°C 24%
25°C 22%
21°C或以下 20%
22°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-07-30
21°C或以下
20%
22°C
17%
23°C
15%
24°C
15%
25°C
22%
26°C
24%
27°C
17%
28°C
8%
29°C
14%
30°C
15%
31°C或以上
1%
26°C 24%
25°C 22%
21°C或以下 20%
22°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-07-30
21°C或以下
$27 交易量
20%
22°C
$32 交易量
17%
23°C
$0 交易量
15%
24°C
$0 交易量
15%
25°C
$0 交易量
22%
26°C
$0 交易量
24%
27°C
$0 交易量
17%
28°C
$31 交易量
8%
29°C
$27 交易量
14%
30°C
$27 交易量
15%
31°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 25–26°C for Seoul on July 30, reflecting near-term forecast consensus from models such as those issued by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Typical late-July climatology features humid subtropical conditions with minimum temperatures averaging 24–26°C, modulated by cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers and variable high humidity in recent days have kept surface temperatures elevated, narrowing the range between 24°C and 27°C outcomes while reducing the likelihood of extremes below 23°C or above 28°C. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as forecasters incorporate the latest ensemble runs and local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$144結束日期
2026-07-30市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 25–26°C for Seoul on July 30, reflecting near-term forecast consensus from models such as those issued by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Typical late-July climatology features humid subtropical conditions with minimum temperatures averaging 24–26°C, modulated by cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers and variable high humidity in recent days have kept surface temperatures elevated, narrowing the range between 24°C and 27°C outcomes while reducing the likelihood of extremes below 23°C or above 28°C. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as forecasters incorporate the latest ensemble runs and local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$144結束日期
2026-07-30市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTraders assign the highest implied probabilities to overnight lows of 25–26°C for Seoul on July 30, reflecting near-term forecast consensus from models such as those issued by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Typical late-July climatology features humid subtropical conditions with minimum temperatures averaging 24–26°C, modulated by cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers and variable high humidity in recent days have kept surface temperatures elevated, narrowing the range between 24°C and 27°C outcomes while reducing the likelihood of extremes below 23°C or above 28°C. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as forecasters incorporate the latest ensemble runs and local observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions