Several bipartisan bills introduced in the 119th Congress, including the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act and related measures targeting sports event contracts, remain stalled in committee with no floor votes or advancement as of early September 2026. The CFTC continues to assert exclusive federal jurisdiction through ongoing litigation against state enforcement actions and a proposed rulemaking on event contracts that avoids categorical prohibitions. State-level restrictions, such as Minnesota’s blocked ban and licensing requirements elsewhere, have not translated into federal legislation, while industry platforms maintain operations amid court injunctions and regulatory scrutiny. These factors have produced limited legislative momentum for a nationwide prohibition before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
9% 機率
$19,843 交易量
$19,843 交易量
2026-12-31
是
9% 機率
$19,843 交易量
$19,843 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several bipartisan bills introduced in the 119th Congress, including the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act and related measures targeting sports event contracts, remain stalled in committee with no floor votes or advancement as of early September 2026. The CFTC continues to assert exclusive federal jurisdiction through ongoing litigation against state enforcement actions and a proposed rulemaking on event contracts that avoids categorical prohibitions. State-level restrictions, such as Minnesota’s blocked ban and licensing requirements elsewhere, have not translated into federal legislation, while industry platforms maintain operations amid court injunctions and regulatory scrutiny. These factors have produced limited legislative momentum for a nationwide prohibition before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
交易量
$19,843結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several bipartisan bills introduced in the 119th Congress, including the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act and related measures targeting sports event contracts, remain stalled in committee with no floor votes or advancement as of early September 2026. The CFTC continues to assert exclusive federal jurisdiction through ongoing litigation against state enforcement actions and a proposed rulemaking on event contracts that avoids categorical prohibitions. State-level restrictions, such as Minnesota’s blocked ban and licensing requirements elsewhere, have not translated into federal legislation, while industry platforms maintain operations amid court injunctions and regulatory scrutiny. These factors have produced limited legislative momentum for a nationwide prohibition before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$19,843結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETSeveral bipartisan bills introduced in the 119th Congress, including the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act and related measures targeting sports event contracts, remain stalled in committee with no floor votes or advancement as of early September 2026. The CFTC continues to assert exclusive federal jurisdiction through ongoing litigation against state enforcement actions and a proposed rulemaking on event contracts that avoids categorical prohibitions. State-level restrictions, such as Minnesota’s blocked ban and licensing requirements elsewhere, have not translated into federal legislation, while industry platforms maintain operations amid court injunctions and regulatory scrutiny. These factors have produced limited legislative momentum for a nationwide prohibition before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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