Skip to main content
icon for 安大略省基奇納市長選舉獲勝者
政治·主要選舉

安大略省基奇納市長選舉獲勝者

icon for 安大略省基奇納市長選舉獲勝者
政治·主要選舉

安大略省基奇納市長選舉獲勝者

Berry Vrbanovic 87%

大衛·奧爾頓 6%

Wazhma Frogh 6%

Manikantan Nair 4.0%

Polymarket
最新

Berry Vrbanovic 87%

大衛·奧爾頓 6%

Wazhma Frogh 6%

Manikantan Nair 4.0%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Berry Vrbanovic

Berry Vrbanovic

$288 交易量

87%

icon for 大衛·奧爾頓

大衛·奧爾頓

$147 交易量

6%

icon for Wazhma Frogh

Wazhma Frogh

$20 交易量

6%

icon for Manikantan Nair

Manikantan Nair

$26 交易量

4%

icon for 辛蒂·沃德

辛蒂·沃德

$0 交易量

4%

icon for 喬治·特里赫內亞

喬治·特里赫內亞

$19 交易量

3%

The 2026 Kitchener, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kitchener, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kitchener, Ontario.Berry Vrbanovic, the three-term incumbent seeking a fourth term as Kitchener mayor, holds the strongest position in the October 26, 2026, municipal election following the August 21 nomination deadline. Local analysts highlight the challenges of defeating a long-serving mayor in a large city, noting Vrbanovic’s established community presence and the limited early visibility of challengers such as David Alton, Wazhma Frogh, George Trihenea, Cindy Ward, and Manikantan Nair. The race features multiple candidates, yet recent reporting emphasizes incumbency advantages and uncertain footing for opponents. Trader consensus in the market assigns Vrbanovic the highest implied probability, consistent with historical patterns favoring sitting mayors in Ontario municipal contests absent major shifts before election day.

The 2026 Kitchener, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kitchener, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kitchener, Ontario.
交易量
$499
結束日期
2026-10-26
市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Kitchener, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kitchener, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kitchener, Ontario.
The 2026 Kitchener, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kitchener, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kitchener, Ontario.Berry Vrbanovic, the three-term incumbent seeking a fourth term as Kitchener mayor, holds the strongest position in the October 26, 2026, municipal election following the August 21 nomination deadline. Local analysts highlight the challenges of defeating a long-serving mayor in a large city, noting Vrbanovic’s established community presence and the limited early visibility of challengers such as David Alton, Wazhma Frogh, George Trihenea, Cindy Ward, and Manikantan Nair. The race features multiple candidates, yet recent reporting emphasizes incumbency advantages and uncertain footing for opponents. Trader consensus in the market assigns Vrbanovic the highest implied probability, consistent with historical patterns favoring sitting mayors in Ontario municipal contests absent major shifts before election day.

The 2026 Kitchener, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kitchener, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kitchener, Ontario.
交易量
$499
結束日期
2026-10-26
市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Kitchener, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kitchener, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kitchener, Ontario.

相關

icon for Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?

Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?

62%
icon for Bryan Paterson 會贏得2026年金斯頓市長選舉嗎？

Bryan Paterson 會贏得2026年金斯頓市長選舉嗎？

79%
是
icon for Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?

50%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"安大略省基奇納市長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Berry Vrbanovic" at 87%, followed by "大衛·奧爾頓" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"安大略省基奇納市長選舉獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "安大略省基奇納市長選舉獲勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "安大略省基奇納市長選舉獲勝者" is "Berry Vrbanovic" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "大衛·奧爾頓" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "安大略省基奇納市長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.