Minnesota's eight congressional districts remain evenly split between the parties ahead of the November 2026 general election, with Democrats holding a core of three safe urban and suburban seats in the Minneapolis-St. Paul metro area. The open District 2 seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Angie Craig, leans Democratic on partisan metrics and contributes to the market's concentration on four seats as the leading outcome. Republican-held rural and exurban districts show minimal recent movement in ratings, limiting prospects for Democratic gains or losses. Primaries held on August 11, 2026, will finalize nominees without altering the structural baseline. Trader consensus around four or five seats reflects the low number of truly competitive races and the challenges of flipping entrenched partisan territory in a midterm environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4 53%
5 28%
3 17%
6+ 6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於3席
5%
3
17%
4
53%
5
28%
6+
6%
4 53%
5 28%
3 17%
6+ 6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於3席
$0 交易量
5%
3
$0 交易量
17%
4
$0 交易量
53%
5
$0 交易量
28%
6+
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Minnesota in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Minnesota US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Minnesota's eight congressional districts remain evenly split between the parties ahead of the November 2026 general election, with Democrats holding a core of three safe urban and suburban seats in the Minneapolis-St. Paul metro area. The open District 2 seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Angie Craig, leans Democratic on partisan metrics and contributes to the market's concentration on four seats as the leading outcome. Republican-held rural and exurban districts show minimal recent movement in ratings, limiting prospects for Democratic gains or losses. Primaries held on August 11, 2026, will finalize nominees without altering the structural baseline. Trader consensus around four or five seats reflects the low number of truly competitive races and the challenges of flipping entrenched partisan territory in a midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Minnesota in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Minnesota US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Minnesota US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 10:02 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 10:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Minnesota in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Minnesota US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Minnesota's eight congressional districts remain evenly split between the parties ahead of the November 2026 general election, with Democrats holding a core of three safe urban and suburban seats in the Minneapolis-St. Paul metro area. The open District 2 seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Angie Craig, leans Democratic on partisan metrics and contributes to the market's concentration on four seats as the leading outcome. Republican-held rural and exurban districts show minimal recent movement in ratings, limiting prospects for Democratic gains or losses. Primaries held on August 11, 2026, will finalize nominees without altering the structural baseline. Trader consensus around four or five seats reflects the low number of truly competitive races and the challenges of flipping entrenched partisan territory in a midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Minnesota in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Minnesota US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Minnesota US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 10:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Minnesota's eight congressional districts remain evenly split between the parties ahead of the November 2026 general election, with Democrats holding a core of three safe urban and suburban seats in the Minneapolis-St. Paul metro area. The open District 2 seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Angie Craig, leans Democratic on partisan metrics and contributes to the market's concentration on four seats as the leading outcome. Republican-held rural and exurban districts show minimal recent movement in ratings, limiting prospects for Democratic gains or losses. Primaries held on August 11, 2026, will finalize nominees without altering the structural baseline. Trader consensus around four or five seats reflects the low number of truly competitive races and the challenges of flipping entrenched partisan territory in a midterm environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions