Latest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate a maximum temperature in Toronto on July 29 most likely between 24–26 °C, driven by moderate westerly flow under a weak ridge with partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting afternoon heating. These conditions produce tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26 °C because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, insolation timing, or urban heat-island effects can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Historical July maxima average near 26 °C, providing context that current guidance sits close to climatology with limited potential for significant deviation before the daily record is finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月29日多倫多氣溫最高?
26°C 40%
25°C 34%
24°C 12%
27°C 12%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
12%
25°C
34%
26°C
40%
27°C
12%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
1%
26°C 40%
25°C 34%
24°C 12%
27°C 12%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
12%
25°C
34%
26°C
40%
27°C
12%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 27, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate a maximum temperature in Toronto on July 29 most likely between 24–26 °C, driven by moderate westerly flow under a weak ridge with partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting afternoon heating. These conditions produce tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26 °C because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, insolation timing, or urban heat-island effects can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Historical July maxima average near 26 °C, providing context that current guidance sits close to climatology with limited potential for significant deviation before the daily record is finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions