Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月30日臺北氣溫最高？
7月30日臺北氣溫最高？
35°C 32%
34°C 24%
36°C 19%
33°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-07-30
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
13%
32°C
6%
33°C
16%
34°C
24%
35°C
32%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
9%
35°C 32%
34°C 24%
36°C 19%
33°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-07-30
27°C or below
$271 交易量
<1%
28°C
$271 交易量
<1%
29°C
$351 交易量
<1%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C
$52 交易量
13%
32°C
$14 交易量
6%
33°C
$258 交易量
16%
34°C
$3 交易量
24%
35°C
$118 交易量
32%
36°C
$178 交易量
19%
37°C or higher
$171 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,687結束日期
2026-07-30市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,687結束日期
2026-07-30市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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