Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston points to a hot, humid late-July pattern under a building heat dome, positioning the 96-97°F bin as the market leader with implied odds near 46%. Normal high temperatures for July 28 sit at 95°F per 1991-2020 climatology, while current model consensus favors daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 90s with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest afternoon heating. Recent observations show no 100°F readings yet in 2026 and only isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap temperatures slightly below forecast peaks, keeping the 98-99°F tier at 20% and higher outcomes under 6%. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of tomorrow’s observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月28日休斯敦的最高溫度？
7月28日休斯敦的最高溫度？
96-97°F 52%
94-95°F 31%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 2%
最新
$12,698 交易量
最新
$12,698 交易量
2026-07-28
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
52%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 52%
94-95°F 31%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 2%
最新
$12,698 交易量
最新
$12,698 交易量
2026-07-28
85°F or below
$219 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$816 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$324 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$437 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$863 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$2,159 交易量
31%
96-97°F
$4,644 交易量
52%
98-99°F
$1,495 交易量
16%
100-101°F
$802 交易量
1%
102-103°F
$381 交易量
<1%
104°F or higher
$558 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston points to a hot, humid late-July pattern under a building heat dome, positioning the 96-97°F bin as the market leader with implied odds near 46%. Normal high temperatures for July 28 sit at 95°F per 1991-2020 climatology, while current model consensus favors daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 90s with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest afternoon heating. Recent observations show no 100°F readings yet in 2026 and only isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap temperatures slightly below forecast peaks, keeping the 98-99°F tier at 20% and higher outcomes under 6%. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of tomorrow’s observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 26, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$12,698結束日期
2026-07-28市場開放時間
Jul 26, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston points to a hot, humid late-July pattern under a building heat dome, positioning the 96-97°F bin as the market leader with implied odds near 46%. Normal high temperatures for July 28 sit at 95°F per 1991-2020 climatology, while current model consensus favors daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 90s with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest afternoon heating. Recent observations show no 100°F readings yet in 2026 and only isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap temperatures slightly below forecast peaks, keeping the 98-99°F tier at 20% and higher outcomes under 6%. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of tomorrow’s observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,698結束日期
2026-07-28市場開放時間
Jul 26, 2026, 9:04 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston points to a hot, humid late-July pattern under a building heat dome, positioning the 96-97°F bin as the market leader with implied odds near 46%. Normal high temperatures for July 28 sit at 95°F per 1991-2020 climatology, while current model consensus favors daytime maxima in the mid-to-upper 90s with limited cloud cover and light winds supporting modest afternoon heating. Recent observations show no 100°F readings yet in 2026 and only isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap temperatures slightly below forecast peaks, keeping the 98-99°F tier at 20% and higher outcomes under 6%. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of tomorrow’s observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions