Persistent heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High are elevating trader focus on 38–39°C outcomes for Busan’s July 30 high, as official KMA warnings and recent 35°C readings confirm above-average intensity through early August. Scattered showers and monsoon moisture introduce cooling uncertainty, keeping 37°C and 40°C brackets competitive while lower probabilities cluster below 36°C. AccuWeather’s July guidance of 32–35°C highs, combined with coastal sea breezes and historical July maxima near 30°C, underscores the narrow margin between these brackets; updated short-range KMA runs and afternoon thunderstorm potential will likely refine implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月30日釜山的最高溫度?
38°C 34%
39°C 29%
40°C 19%
37°C 14%
35°C or below
3%
36°C
7%
37°C
19%
38°C
34%
39°C
29%
40°C
19%
41°C
9%
42°C
2%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C或更高
<1%
38°C 34%
39°C 29%
40°C 19%
37°C 14%
35°C or below
3%
36°C
7%
37°C
19%
38°C
34%
39°C
29%
40°C
19%
41°C
9%
42°C
2%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High are elevating trader focus on 38–39°C outcomes for Busan’s July 30 high, as official KMA warnings and recent 35°C readings confirm above-average intensity through early August. Scattered showers and monsoon moisture introduce cooling uncertainty, keeping 37°C and 40°C brackets competitive while lower probabilities cluster below 36°C. AccuWeather’s July guidance of 32–35°C highs, combined with coastal sea breezes and historical July maxima near 30°C, underscores the narrow margin between these brackets; updated short-range KMA runs and afternoon thunderstorm potential will likely refine implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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