Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於40-64 46%
65-89 30%
少於40 12%
90-114 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-29
少於40
12%
40-64
46%
65-89
30%
90-114
11%
115-139
3%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
1%
240+
1%
40-64 46%
65-89 30%
少於40 12%
90-114 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-29
少於40
$22 交易量
12%
40-64
$20 交易量
46%
65-89
$100 交易量
30%
90-114
$71 交易量
11%
115-139
$120 交易量
3%
140-164
$0 交易量
2%
165-189
$100 交易量
1%
190-214
$0 交易量
1%
215-239
$10 交易量
1%
240+
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Jul 25, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
交易量
$453結束日期
2026-07-29市場開放時間
Jul 25, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$453結束日期
2026-07-29市場開放時間
Jul 25, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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