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icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年7月21日至7月28日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年7月21日至7月28日?

icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年7月21日至7月28日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年7月21日至7月28日?

100-119 29.5%

120-139 25%

140-159 16%

80-99 12.6%

Polymarket

$25,728 交易量

100-119 29.5%

120-139 25%

140-159 16%

80-99 12.6%

Polymarket

$25,728 交易量

60-79

$1,725 交易量

1%

80-99

$2,996 交易量

13%

100-119

$1,681 交易量

30%

120-139

$702 交易量

25%

140-159

$460 交易量

16%

160-179

$614 交易量

6%

180-199

$544 交易量

4%

200+

$491 交易量

5%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social posting volume in the July 21-28 window shows closely matched probabilities across the 140-199 range because his daily output has fluctuated substantially in 2025-2026, averaging roughly 18 posts per day overall but spiking to 27 per day during active news periods. Recent months featured multiple late-night barrages exceeding 150 posts in hours, driven by responses to legislative developments, polling releases, and media coverage, while quieter stretches produced lower counts. The tight spread among mid-range buckets reflects trader views on the balance between routine activity and potential event-driven increases or decreases, with separation likely hinging on any major announcements, diplomatic moves, or domestic policy votes occurring in the resolution period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$25,728
結束日期
2026-07-28
市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social posting volume in the July 21-28 window shows closely matched probabilities across the 140-199 range because his daily output has fluctuated substantially in 2025-2026, averaging roughly 18 posts per day overall but spiking to 27 per day during active news periods. Recent months featured multiple late-night barrages exceeding 150 posts in hours, driven by responses to legislative developments, polling releases, and media coverage, while quieter stretches produced lower counts. The tight spread among mid-range buckets reflects trader views on the balance between routine activity and potential event-driven increases or decreases, with separation likely hinging on any major announcements, diplomatic moves, or domestic policy votes occurring in the resolution period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$25,728
結束日期
2026-07-28
市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年7月21日至7月28日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "100-119" at 30%, followed by "120-139" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年7月21日至7月28日?" has generated $25.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年7月21日至7月28日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年7月21日至7月28日?" is "100-119" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "120-139" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年7月21日至7月28日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.