Several open-seat gubernatorial contests in 2026, including Arizona, Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota, New Mexico, and Georgia, feature term-limited or retiring incumbents and early ratings clustered as toss-ups or leans by forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. These dynamics, combined with shifting national political conditions and candidate recruitment in swing states, keep projected margins narrow across multiple battlegrounds. Upcoming primaries, polling trends, and voter turnout patterns in states like Arizona and Wisconsin could alter relative competitiveness, while the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing shows traders viewing the field as too fluid for any single state to separate decisively at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Kansas 18.4%
俄亥俄州 14.1%
Texas 10.8%
Wisconsin 10.3%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Kansas
18%
俄亥俄州
14%
Texas
11%
Wisconsin
10%
Nevada
10%
Georgia
9%
Iowa
8%
佛羅里達州
5%
科羅拉多州
5%
密西根州
4%
Arizona
4%
Oregon
4%
Alaska
3%
Maine
3%
Minnesota
3%
New Hampshire
2%
Vermont
1%
New Mexico
1%
Kansas 18.4%
俄亥俄州 14.1%
Texas 10.8%
Wisconsin 10.3%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Kansas
$337 交易量
18%
俄亥俄州
$333 交易量
14%
Texas
$1,015 交易量
11%
Wisconsin
$250 交易量
10%
Nevada
$132 交易量
10%
Georgia
$194 交易量
9%
Iowa
$465 交易量
8%
佛羅里達州
$193 交易量
5%
科羅拉多州
$238 交易量
5%
密西根州
$304 交易量
4%
Arizona
$245 交易量
4%
Oregon
$299 交易量
4%
Alaska
$201 交易量
3%
Maine
$257 交易量
3%
Minnesota
$189 交易量
3%
New Hampshire
$250 交易量
2%
Vermont
$171 交易量
1%
New Mexico
$189 交易量
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several open-seat gubernatorial contests in 2026, including Arizona, Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota, New Mexico, and Georgia, feature term-limited or retiring incumbents and early ratings clustered as toss-ups or leans by forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. These dynamics, combined with shifting national political conditions and candidate recruitment in swing states, keep projected margins narrow across multiple battlegrounds. Upcoming primaries, polling trends, and voter turnout patterns in states like Arizona and Wisconsin could alter relative competitiveness, while the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing shows traders viewing the field as too fluid for any single state to separate decisively at this stage.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$5,262結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several open-seat gubernatorial contests in 2026, including Arizona, Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota, New Mexico, and Georgia, feature term-limited or retiring incumbents and early ratings clustered as toss-ups or leans by forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. These dynamics, combined with shifting national political conditions and candidate recruitment in swing states, keep projected margins narrow across multiple battlegrounds. Upcoming primaries, polling trends, and voter turnout patterns in states like Arizona and Wisconsin could alter relative competitiveness, while the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing shows traders viewing the field as too fluid for any single state to separate decisively at this stage.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,262結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Several open-seat gubernatorial contests in 2026, including Arizona, Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota, New Mexico, and Georgia, feature term-limited or retiring incumbents and early ratings clustered as toss-ups or leans by forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. These dynamics, combined with shifting national political conditions and candidate recruitment in swing states, keep projected margins narrow across multiple battlegrounds. Upcoming primaries, polling trends, and voter turnout patterns in states like Arizona and Wisconsin could alter relative competitiveness, while the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing shows traders viewing the field as too fluid for any single state to separate decisively at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions