The closely contested 53% market-implied probability for Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) closing above $38.92 ungraded on Collectr by August 31 reflects the card hovering near that exact threshold amid recent volatility. Broader Pokémon TCG trends show starter Pokémon cards like this one cooling from mid-2026 peaks in the $40–50 range into the low-to-mid $30s, driven by increased supply and softening collector demand after earlier hype cycles. Recent sales data and platform metrics indicate modest downward pressure without a decisive break lower, while steady interest in promo cards tied to Mega Evolution sets provides some support. With only two weeks remaining, fresh high-volume transactions, updated Collectr aggregates, or any late-August TCG announcements could quickly shift momentum and resolve the deadlock.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Charmander價格在8月31日上漲/下跌?
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This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
市場開放時間: Aug 14, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The closely contested 53% market-implied probability for Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) closing above $38.92 ungraded on Collectr by August 31 reflects the card hovering near that exact threshold amid recent volatility. Broader Pokémon TCG trends show starter Pokémon cards like this one cooling from mid-2026 peaks in the $40–50 range into the low-to-mid $30s, driven by increased supply and softening collector demand after earlier hype cycles. Recent sales data and platform metrics indicate modest downward pressure without a decisive break lower, while steady interest in promo cards tied to Mega Evolution sets provides some support. With only two weeks remaining, fresh high-volume transactions, updated Collectr aggregates, or any late-August TCG announcements could quickly shift momentum and resolve the deadlock.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions