Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）
運動·ATP

2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）

icon for 2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）
運動·ATP

2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）

卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯 48%

亞歷山大·茲韋列夫 24.4%

班·謝爾頓 7.8%

丹尼爾·梅德韋傑夫 6.5%

Polymarket

$20,739,275 交易量

卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯 48%

亞歷山大·茲韋列夫 24.4%

班·謝爾頓 7.8%

丹尼爾·梅德韋傑夫 6.5%

Polymarket

$20,739,275 交易量

卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯

$1,816,184 交易量

48%

亞歷山大·茲韋列夫

$899,566 交易量

24%

班·謝爾頓

$701,699 交易量

8%

丹尼爾·梅德韋傑夫

$781,660 交易量

7%

田學承

$394,035 交易量

5%

法蘭西斯·蒂亞福

$608,361 交易量

3%

球員O

$289,676 交易量

2%

湯米·保羅

$346,657 交易量

1%

Francisco Cerundolo

$249,201 交易量

1%

卡倫·哈查諾夫

$321,228 交易量

1%

球員S

$294,234 交易量

1%

Alex Michelsen

$313,673 交易量

1%

盧西亞諾·達爾代里

$191,738 交易量

1%

托馬斯·馬丁·埃切維里

$291,839 交易量

<1%

卡斯帕·魯德

$23,618 交易量

<1%

亞歷山大·塔比洛

$292,030 交易量

<1%

雅庫布·梅恩希克

$594,615 交易量

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Carlos Alcaraz as the frontrunner for the 2026 Men’s US Open at an implied 47.5% probability, driven by his superior hard-court results, multiple Grand Slam wins, and sustained high-level consistency across recent ATP events. Alexander Zverev sits at 24.3% thanks to his strong baseline power, serve consistency, and proven results on American hard courts. Ben Shelton at 7.7% and Daniil Medvedev at 6.5% reflect their climbing rankings, athletic tools, and major-tournament experience, respectively. Learner Tien and others trail with lower implied probabilities that acknowledge realistic upset potential in a draw where form, injuries, and head-to-head matchups can shift quickly. Recent ranking swings and recovery timelines continue to influence these probabilities ahead of the hard-court major.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$20,739,275
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Carlos Alcaraz as the frontrunner for the 2026 Men’s US Open at an implied 47.5% probability, driven by his superior hard-court results, multiple Grand Slam wins, and sustained high-level consistency across recent ATP events. Alexander Zverev sits at 24.3% thanks to his strong baseline power, serve consistency, and proven results on American hard courts. Ben Shelton at 7.7% and Daniil Medvedev at 6.5% reflect their climbing rankings, athletic tools, and major-tournament experience, respectively. Learner Tien and others trail with lower implied probabilities that acknowledge realistic upset potential in a draw where form, injuries, and head-to-head matchups can shift quickly. Recent ranking swings and recovery timelines continue to influence these probabilities ahead of the hard-court major.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$20,739,275
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

相關

icon for 阿麗娜·莎芭蓮卡會贏得2026年美國女子公開賽嗎？

阿麗娜·莎芭蓮卡會贏得2026年美國女子公開賽嗎？

27%
是
icon for Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

59%
icon for Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

67%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯" at 48%, followed by "亞歷山大·茲韋列夫" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）" has generated $20.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）" is "卡洛斯·阿爾卡拉斯" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞歷山大·茲韋列夫" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年美國男子網球公開賽冠軍（網球）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.