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運動·網球

2026年美國網球公開賽：打入決賽（男子單打）

icon for 2026年美國網球公開賽：打入決賽（男子單打）
運動·網球

2026年美國網球公開賽：打入決賽（男子單打）

最新

$14,976 交易量

2026-09-12
Polymarket

$14,976 交易量

Polymarket

Carlos Alcaraz

$520 交易量

45%

Novak Djokovic

$24 交易量

35%

Alexander Zverev

$104 交易量

33%

Rafael Jodar

$1,531 交易量

15%

Ben Shelton

$23 交易量

14%

Taylor Fritz

$22 交易量

12%

Arthur Fils

$143 交易量

12%

Daniil Medvedev

$0 交易量

9%

Jakub Mensik

$636 交易量

6%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$0 交易量

6%

Alexander Bublik

$42 交易量

5%

Alex de Minaur

$390 交易量

5%

Flavio Cobolli

$21 交易量

5%

Lorenzo Musetti

$0 交易量

5%

Brandon Nakashima

$671 交易量

5%

Jiri Lehecka

$21 交易量

5%

Casper Ruud

$666 交易量

5%

Frances Tiafoe

$0 交易量

4%

Andrey Rublev

$234 交易量

4%

Tommy Paul

$28 交易量

4%

Alejandro Tabilo

$1 交易量

3%

Michael Zheng

$205 交易量

3%

Carlos Taberner

$103 交易量

3%

J.J. Wolf

$143 交易量

3%

Filip Misolic

$123 交易量

3%

Juncheng Shang

$182 交易量

3%

Learner Tien

$1 交易量

3%

Darwin Blanch

$268 交易量

3%

Sebastian Gorzny

$268 交易量

3%

Jack Kennedy

$268 交易量

3%

Thanasi Kokkinakis

$228 交易量

3%

Luciano Darderi

$1 交易量

3%

Valentin Vacherot

$103 交易量

3%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$101 交易量

3%

Alexander Blockx

$195 交易量

3%

Cameron Norrie

$312 交易量

2%

Arthur Rinderknech

$200 交易量

2%

Patrick Kypson

$268 交易量

2%

Gael Monfils

$168 交易量

2%

Dane Sweeny

$345 交易量

2%

Francisco Cerundolo

$333 交易量

2%

Zizou Bergs

$189 交易量

2%

Ugo Humbert

$243 交易量

1%

Joao Fonseca

$5,650 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Carlos Alcaraz’s return from a four-month wrist injury absence, combined with Jannik Sinner’s withdrawal due to a right knee issue, has reshaped the men’s singles draw at the 2026 US Open.** Alcaraz enters as defending champion and clear market favorite despite limited recent match play, while Alexander Zverev assumes the top seed position with strong momentum from his French Open title and recent Slam finals appearances. Novak Djokovic, Ben Shelton, Taylor Fritz, and rising Spaniard Rafael Jodar feature prominently among contenders, supported by home-court advantages for Americans and consistent hard-court form from several players. Multiple high-profile withdrawals and an elevated injury rate across the tour add uncertainty to paths through the bracket, with the main draw opening August 30 on outdoor hard courts in New York. Trader pricing reflects these recent developments and the absence of the prior dominant favorite.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,976
結束日期
2026-09-12
市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Carlos Alcaraz’s return from a four-month wrist injury absence, combined with Jannik Sinner’s withdrawal due to a right knee issue, has reshaped the men’s singles draw at the 2026 US Open.** Alcaraz enters as defending champion and clear market favorite despite limited recent match play, while Alexander Zverev assumes the top seed position with strong momentum from his French Open title and recent Slam finals appearances. Novak Djokovic, Ben Shelton, Taylor Fritz, and rising Spaniard Rafael Jodar feature prominently among contenders, supported by home-court advantages for Americans and consistent hard-court form from several players. Multiple high-profile withdrawals and an elevated injury rate across the tour add uncertainty to paths through the bracket, with the main draw opening August 30 on outdoor hard courts in New York. Trader pricing reflects these recent developments and the absence of the prior dominant favorite.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,976
結束日期
2026-09-12
市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

相關

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Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

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Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

66%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年美國網球公開賽：打入決賽（男子單打）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 45%, followed by "Novak Djokovic" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年美國網球公開賽：打入決賽（男子單打）" has generated $15K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年美國網球公開賽：打入決賽（男子單打）," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年美國網球公開賽：打入決賽（男子單打）" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Novak Djokovic" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年美國網球公開賽：打入決賽（男子單打）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.