Venezuelan crude oil output has climbed to roughly 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in mid-2026, supported by U.S. sanctions relief, new fiscal regulations clarifying royalties and taxes, and greater private-sector access following political shifts. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on whether incremental maintenance and modest foreign investment can push annual averages above common resolution thresholds near 1.2–1.3 million bpd. Key swing factors include the pace of capital inflows—analysts estimate $15–20 billion needed over a decade for sustained gains—and infrastructure constraints that limit rapid scaling beyond 1.5 million bpd. Upcoming catalysts encompass further licensing decisions and OPEC secondary-source reporting through year-end, which will determine if 2026 closes above or below targeted levels amid ongoing political and operational uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$182,397 KL.
Feb 27, 2027
1.2m
61%
1.3m
21%
1.4m
9%
1.5m
6%
1.7m
3%
2m
2%
$182,397 KL.
1.2m
$10,444 KL.
61%
1.3m
$7,721 KL.
21%
1.4m
$19,774 KL.
9%
1.5m
$9,719 KL.
6%
1.7m
$58,787 KL.
3%
2m
$16,314 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil output has climbed to roughly 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in mid-2026, supported by U.S. sanctions relief, new fiscal regulations clarifying royalties and taxes, and greater private-sector access following political shifts. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on whether incremental maintenance and modest foreign investment can push annual averages above common resolution thresholds near 1.2–1.3 million bpd. Key swing factors include the pace of capital inflows—analysts estimate $15–20 billion needed over a decade for sustained gains—and infrastructure constraints that limit rapid scaling beyond 1.5 million bpd. Upcoming catalysts encompass further licensing decisions and OPEC secondary-source reporting through year-end, which will determine if 2026 closes above or below targeted levels amid ongoing political and operational uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Thị trường mở: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$182,397Ngày kết thúc
Feb 28, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil output has climbed to roughly 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in mid-2026, supported by U.S. sanctions relief, new fiscal regulations clarifying royalties and taxes, and greater private-sector access following political shifts. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on whether incremental maintenance and modest foreign investment can push annual averages above common resolution thresholds near 1.2–1.3 million bpd. Key swing factors include the pace of capital inflows—analysts estimate $15–20 billion needed over a decade for sustained gains—and infrastructure constraints that limit rapid scaling beyond 1.5 million bpd. Upcoming catalysts encompass further licensing decisions and OPEC secondary-source reporting through year-end, which will determine if 2026 closes above or below targeted levels amid ongoing political and operational uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Khối lượng
$182,397Ngày kết thúc
Feb 28, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan crude oil output has climbed to roughly 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in mid-2026, supported by U.S. sanctions relief, new fiscal regulations clarifying royalties and taxes, and greater private-sector access following political shifts. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on whether incremental maintenance and modest foreign investment can push annual averages above common resolution thresholds near 1.2–1.3 million bpd. Key swing factors include the pace of capital inflows—analysts estimate $15–20 billion needed over a decade for sustained gains—and infrastructure constraints that limit rapid scaling beyond 1.5 million bpd. Upcoming catalysts encompass further licensing decisions and OPEC secondary-source reporting through year-end, which will determine if 2026 closes above or below targeted levels amid ongoing political and operational uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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